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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
06.09.2026 10:30
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: Hayato Shimizu, Japan
FC Tokyo
Match Timeline
Kyoto Sanga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Weverton
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
46'
Everton Maceio ↔ T. Matsuda
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
50'
Temma Matsuda
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
57'
Haruki Arai
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
62'
K. Hashimoto ↔ Y. Nagatomo
FC Tokyo
🔄
62'
S. Homma ↔ K. Tawaratsumida
FC Tokyo
🔄
62'
S. Anzai ↔ Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
🔄
69'
↔ T. Kato
Kyoto Sanga
⚽
70'
Marcelo Ryan · Assist: S. Muroya
FC Tokyo
🔄
75'
Y. Ishida ↔ R. Kato
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
75'
S. Yoon ↔ S. Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
75'
Rafael Elias ↔ F. Honda
Kyoto Sanga
⚽
75'
M. Nagakura
FC Tokyo
🔄
86'
S. Muroya ↔ H. Ishihara
FC Tokyo
🔄
89'
M. Nagakura ↔ T. Nakagawa
FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.7%
1.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Tokyo Win 54.2%
Draw 20.5%
Kyoto Sanga Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Tokyo1.8
Kyoto Sanga1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
4.8
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 5 matches
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 5 matches
FC Tokyo Statistic Kyoto Sanga
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
9 Goals For 7
8 Goals Against 9
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
4.8 Shots On Goal 4.4
15.4 Total Shots 12
3.4 Corners 2.2
50.8% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 6 times, Kyoto Sanga won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
Predicted formations: FC Tokyo 4-4-2 / Kyoto Sanga 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Tokyo wins 6, draws 0, Kyoto Sanga wins 4

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 12:5 7 19
W W W W W
2 8 6 0 2 17:12 5 18
W W L L W
3 8 5 2 1 20:6 14 17
W W L W D
4 8 5 2 1 21:10 11 17
L D W W D
5 8 5 2 1 14:8 6 17
W W W D W
6 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
W D W D L
7 8 3 4 1 16:12 4 13
D W W L W
8 8 4 1 3 17:16 1 13
D L L L W
9 8 4 1 3 11:10 1 13
L W W W L
10 8 4 0 4 16:18 -2 12
W L W W W
11 8 3 2 3 7:12 -5 11
D L D W L
12 8 3 1 4 6:8 -2 10
W W L D L
13 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L L D W D
14 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W L L D W
15 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
D W L D L
16 8 1 3 4 8:14 -6 6
L L L D D
17 8 2 0 6 7:14 -7 6
L L L L W
18 8 1 1 6 9:12 -3 4
L L D L L
19 8 0 4 4 4:12 -8 4
L D D L L
20 8 1 1 6 7:18 -11 4
L D W L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League