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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
FC Tokyo
FT
1 - 3
Cerezo Osaka
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: M. Ueda
FC Tokyo
Match Timeline
Cerezo Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
8'
Kein Sato
FC Tokyo
⚽
10'
S. Homma · Assist: M. Shibayama
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
29'
K. Sato ↔ L. Nozawa
FC Tokyo
⚽
35'
S. Sakuragawa
Cerezo Osaka
⚽
43'
S. Sakuragawa · Assist: M. Shibayama
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
60'
K. Noborizato ↔ A. Ohata
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
61'
Marcelo Ryan ↔ F. Yamada
FC Tokyo
🔄
61'
K. Endo ↔ K. Tawaratsumida
FC Tokyo
⚽
62'
R. Sato · Assist: L. Nozawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
66'
S. Sakuragawa ↔ Thiago Andrade
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
67'
S. Kagawa ↔ K. Yoshino
Cerezo Osaka
🟨
69'
Masaya Shibayama
Cerezo Osaka
🟨
73'
Kento Hashimoto
FC Tokyo
🔄
76'
K. Tokiwa ↔ T. Ogashiwa
FC Tokyo
🔄
76'
K. Koizumi ↔ K. Higashi
FC Tokyo
🔄
79'
S. Homma ↔ T. Nakamura
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
79'
M. Nakajima ↔ S. Uejo
Cerezo Osaka
🟨
89'
Dion Cools
Cerezo Osaka
VAR
90+5'
Fuki Yamada
FC Tokyo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Tokyo Win 45.3%
Draw 21.5%
Cerezo Osaka Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Tokyo1.48
Cerezo Osaka1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WWDLW
34 GF / 21 GA
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
WLDWL
29 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
11
5.37
Shots on Goal
4.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 20 matches
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 20 matches
FC Tokyo Statistic Cerezo Osaka
10 Wins 7
7 Draws 7
3 Losses 6
34 Goals For 29
21 Goals Against 23
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
11 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
5.37 Shots On Goal 4.37
15.47 Total Shots 11.47
5.11 Corners 4.84
52.4% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 6 times, Cerezo Osaka won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:19 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Tokyo 4-4-2 / Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Tokyo wins 6, draws 6, Cerezo Osaka wins 3
Stats
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
3
11 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 6
9 Shots off Goal 3
9 Blocked Shots 3
15 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
457 Total passes 439
390 Passes accurate 364
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Tokyo
Formation
Cerezo Osaka
H. Tanaka
H. Tanaka
S. Muroya
S. Muroya
A. Scholz
A. Scholz
H. Inamura
H. Inamura
K. Hashimoto
K. Hashimoto
K. Sato
↓
K. Sato
K. Koizumi
↓
K. Koizumi
K. Tokiwa
↓
K. Tokiwa
K. Endo
↓
K. Endo
Marcelo Ryan
↓
Marcelo Ryan
R. Sato
⚽
R. Sato
K. Nakamura
K. Nakamura
D. Cools
D. Cools
R. Inoue
R. Inoue
S. Hatanaka
S. Hatanaka
K. Noborizato
↓
K. Noborizato
M. Nakajima
↓
M. Nakajima
S. Tanaka
S. Tanaka
M. Shibayama
🎯
M. Shibayama
S. Kagawa
↓
S. Kagawa
S. Homma
⚽ ↓
S. Homma
S. Sakuragawa
⚽ 2 ↓
S. Sakuragawa
FC Tokyo 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
H. Tanaka
G
2
S. Muroya
D
24
A. Scholz
D
17
H. Inamura
D
42
K. Hashimoto
🟨 73'
D
16
K. Sato
↓ 29'
M
37
K. Koizumi
↓ 76'
M
27
K. Tokiwa
↓ 76'
M
22
K. Endo
↓ 61'
M
9
Marcelo Ryan
↓ 61'
F
23
R. Sato
⚽ 62'
F
Substitutes
58
W. Goto
G
3
M. Morishige
D
11
T. Ogashiwa
↑ 76'
F
71
F. Yamada
↑ 61'
M
32
K. Doi
D
33
K. Tawaratsumida
↑ 61'
M
10
K. Higashi
↑ 76'
M
15
R. Omori
D
28
L. Nozawa
🎯 62' ↑ 29'
F
Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
K. Nakamura
G
27
D. Cools
🟨 89'
D
4
R. Inoue
D
44
S. Hatanaka
D
6
K. Noborizato
↓ 60'
D
13
M. Nakajima
↓ 79'
M
10
S. Tanaka
M
48
M. Shibayama
🎯 10' 🎯 43' 🟨 69'
M
8
S. Kagawa
↓ 67'
M
19
S. Homma
⚽ 10' ↓ 79'
M
9
S. Sakuragawa
⚽ 35' ⚽ 43' ↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
21
Kim Jin-Hyeon
G
5
H. Kida
M
2
T. Nakamura
↑ 79'
D
39
W. Kanemoto
F
35
K. Yoshino
↑ 67'
M
7
S. Uejo
↑ 79'
M
11
Thiago Andrade
↑ 66'
F
66
A. Ohata
↑ 60'
D
3
H. Tanaka
D
Last matches: FC Tokyo
30.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
3
1
W
24.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
11.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
1
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
21.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
Last matches: Cerezo Osaka
30.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
24.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
3
2
W
17.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
6
1
W
09.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
06.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
0
0
D
25.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
18.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
07.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
0
D
28.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
22.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
1
2
L
07.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
H2H: FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka
06.06.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
30.05.26
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
06.08.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
20.04.25
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
08.12.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
24.02.24
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
06.08.23
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
0
1
W
24.05.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
L
08.03.23
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
1
0
L
12.10.22
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
4
0
W
06.03.22
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
0
1
W
21.07.21
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
3
3
D
06.03.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
3
2
W
Last matches: FC Tokyo
10.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
24.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
H2H at home: FC Tokyo
06.06.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
06.08.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
08.12.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
24.05.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
L
12.10.22
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
4
0
W
06.03.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
3
2
W
Last matches: Cerezo Osaka
24.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
3
2
W
06.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
0
0
D
25.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
28.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
15.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
H2H away: Cerezo Osaka
06.06.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
W
06.08.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
08.12.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
L
24.05.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
W
12.10.22
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
4
0
L
06.03.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
3
2
L

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Kashima
18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2
FC Tokyo Home
18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3
Machida Zelvia
18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4
Kawasaki Frontale
18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5
Tokyo Verdy
18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7
Yokohama F. Marinos
18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8
Kashiwa Reysol
18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9
Mito Hollyhock
18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10
JEF United Chiba
18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)