FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC St. Pauli
33 matches
VfL Wolfsburg
33 matches
| FC St. Pauli | Statistic | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 19 | Losses | 19 |
| 28 | Goals For | 42 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 68 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.06 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.39 | Shots On Goal | 4.03 |
| 10.24 | Total Shots | 11.7 |
| 4.64 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring VfL Wolfsburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC St. Pauli expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and VfL Wolfsburg in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Wolfsburg having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. FC St. Pauli have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
FC St. Pauli approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 26 points from 33 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 28:57, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through D. Sinani (5 goals), A. Hountondji (4 goals), M. Kaars (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sinani (3 assists), J. Fujita (3 assists), M. Saliakas (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
VfL Wolfsburg sit 16 with 26 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats with a 42:68 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Amoura (8 goals), Dženan Pejčinović (7 goals), Konstantinos Koulierakis (4 goals), with creative support from C. Eriksen (8 assists), S. Kumbedi (5 assists), Maximilian Arnold (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0 times, VfL Wolfsburg won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from FC St. Pauli's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 |
VfL Wolfsburg
Away
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
FC St. Pauli
Home
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|