FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FC St. Pauli
Karlsruher SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC St. Pauli
14 matches
Karlsruher SC
14 matches
| FC St. Pauli | Statistic | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 19 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.07 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 14.57 |
| 6 | Corners | 5.71 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 40.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Karlsruher SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC St. Pauli expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Karlsruher SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Karlsruher SC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Karlsruher SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, FC St. Pauli have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Hara (2 goals), M. Kaars (2 goals), Abdoulie Ceesay (2 goals), with creative support from A. Pyrka (2 assists), T. Hara (1 assists), D. Nemeth (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Karlsruher SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Moritz Broschinski (2 goals), Rafael Pinto Pedrosa (1 goals), S. Fukuda (1 goals), with creative support from M. Wanitzek (2 assists), L. Egloff (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC St. Pauli won 6 times, Karlsruher SC won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:21 from FC St. Pauli's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 10 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 11 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 8 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
FC St. Pauli
Home
|
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Karlsruher SC
Away
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|