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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
21.04.2026 14:30
Fisht Olympic Stadium
Referee: V. Moskalev
FC Sochi
Match Timeline
Krylia Sovetov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
I. Oleynikov · Assist: I. Akhmetov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
37'
Sergey Pesyakov
Krylia Sovetov
VAR
45+2'
Amar Rahmanovic
Krylia Sovetov
⚽
48'
Marcelo Alves
FC Sochi
🟨
60'
Kirill Pechenin
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
61'
Vyacheslav Litvinov
FC Sochi
🟨
63'
Sergey Babkin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
63'
K. Kravtsov ↔ D. Vasiljev
FC Sochi
🔄
64'
R. Ezhov ↔ G. Furtado
FC Sochi
🔄
64'
V. Iljin ↔ Z. Fedorov
FC Sochi
🔄
72'
N. Rasskazov ↔ I. Lepskii
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
76'
Roman Evgenjev
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
77'
M. Ignatov ↔ F. Kamano
FC Sochi
🔄
81'
I. Akhmetov ↔ K. Stolbov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
82'
Sergey Babkin
Krylia Sovetov
🟥
82'
Sergey Babkin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
82'
M. Mukhin ↔ A. Zinkovskiy
FC Sochi
🔄
86'
M. Vityugov ↔ T. Galdames
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
86'
A. Rahmanovic ↔ A. Shumansky
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
90+9'
Marcelo Alves
FC Sochi
🟨
90+9'
Ivan Oleynikov
Krylia Sovetov
🟥
90+7'
Thomas Galdames
Krylia Sovetov
VAR
90+6'
Thomas Galdames
Krylia Sovetov
⚽
90'
Marcelo Alves · Assist: A. Zinkovskiy
FC Sochi

FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Sochi Win 30.4%
Draw 26.8%
Krylia Sovetov Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Sochi1.25
Krylia Sovetov1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Sochi FC Sochi
WWDLW
22 GF / 53 GA
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WLDWL
26 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.04
2.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
13
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
2.72
Shots on Goal
2.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Sochi FC Sochi 25 matches
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 25 matches
FC Sochi Statistic Krylia Sovetov
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 8
18 Losses 12
22 Goals For 26
53 Goals Against 45
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
2.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
13 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 9
2.72 Shots On Goal 2.72
8.28 Total Shots 8.4
3.36 Corners 3.88
46% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Sochi expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Krylia Sovetov in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Krylia Sovetov having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Krylia Sovetov. FC Sochi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

FC Sochi Analysis

FC Sochi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 15 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 21:53 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mikhail Ignatov (4 goals), Anton Zinkovskiy (3 goals), Ignacio Saavedra (3 goals), with creative support from Ruslan Magal (2 assists), Mikhail Ignatov (1 assists), Anton Zinkovskiy (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with K. Zaika, N. Stojic, M. Ignatov unavailable.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

So far, Krylia Sovetov have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 25:44 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by V. Rakov (5 goals), V. Ignatenko (4 goals), A. Rahmanovic (3 goals), with creative support from Ilzat Akhmetov (5 assists), N. Rasskazov (4 assists), V. Rakov (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Sutormin, C. Geoffrey, M. Banjac, S. Bozhin, N. Chernov unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Sochi won 1 times, Krylia Sovetov won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:26 from FC Sochi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Sochi 3-4-3 / Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Sochi 4, Krylia Sovetov 5
H2H summary: FC Sochi wins 1, draws 3, Krylia Sovetov wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation