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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
16.05.2026 11:30
Ludwigspark Stadion
Referee: L. Exuzidis
FC Saarbrücken
Match Timeline
Hansa Rostock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
M. Krauss · Assist: K. Fatkic
Hansa Rostock
⚽
36'
E. Holten · Assist: M. Krauss
Hansa Rostock
🟨
38'
Florian Pick
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
46'
K. Brunker ↔ A. Naifi
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
54'
M. Zeitz ↔ S. Vasiliadis
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
57'
B. Uphoff ↔ M. Hagemoser
Hansa Rostock
⚽
59'
M. Multhaup · Assist: F. Pick
FC Saarbrücken
🟨
65'
Kenan Fatkič
Hansa Rostock
⚽
66'
A. Naifi · Assist: S. Vasiliadis
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
72'
A. Lebeau ↔ C. Harenbrock
Hansa Rostock
🔄
72'
K. Fatkic ↔ C. Kinsombi
Hansa Rostock
⚽
75'
T. Civeja · Assist: P. Sontheimer
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
76'
N. Bretschneider ↔ C. Rizzuto
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
76'
M. Multhaup ↔ R. Elongo-Yombo
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
78'
V. Bergh ↔ A. Voglsammer
Hansa Rostock
🔄
78'
N. Neidhart ↔ B. Dietze
Hansa Rostock
🟨
79'
Lukas Wallner
Hansa Rostock
⚽
79'
C. Harenbrock
Hansa Rostock
🟨
81'
Sebastian Vasiliadis
FC Saarbrücken
🟨
86'
Tim Civeja
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
90+1'
F. Pick ↔ P. Schmidt
FC Saarbrücken
⚽
90'
J. Bichsel
Hansa Rostock

FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Saarbrücken Win 33.4%
Draw 12.6%
Hansa Rostock Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Saarbrücken1.28
Hansa Rostock1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken
WWDLW
48 GF / 53 GA
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
WLDWL
70 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
23
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
23
3.84
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 37 matches
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 37 matches
FC Saarbrücken Statistic Hansa Rostock
10 Wins 17
14 Draws 13
13 Losses 7
48 Goals For 70
53 Goals Against 46
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
23 BTTS Yes 21
32 Over 1.5 28
16 Over 2.5 23
10 Over 3.5 16
7 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 8
3.84 Shots On Goal 4.26
11.45 Total Shots 11.03
6.32 Corners 4.87
38.5% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hansa Rostock's more proactive style and FC Saarbrücken's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hansa Rostock. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Saarbrücken expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Hansa Rostock in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hansa Rostock having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Hansa Rostock carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 64 points while FC Saarbrücken sit 15 on 44, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

FC Saarbrücken Analysis

FC Saarbrücken approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 44 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats with a 48:53 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Pick (14 goals), K. Brunker (10 goals), T. Civeja (4 goals), with creative support from F. Pick (8 assists), T. Civeja (7 assists), R. Elongo-Yombo (7 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hansa Rostock Analysis

Hansa Rostock come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 64 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 13 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 70:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emil Holten (14 goals), K. Fatkic (8 goals), R. Naderi (8 goals), with creative support from V. Bergh (5 assists), R. Naderi (4 assists), C. Harenbrock (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, FC Saarbrücken won 3 times, Hansa Rostock won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from FC Saarbrücken's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Saarbrücken 4-2-3-1 / Hansa Rostock 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: FC Saarbrücken wins 3, draws 4, Hansa Rostock wins 3

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation