FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.5%
|
2.52 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.95 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
FC Porto
Benfica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Porto
9 matches
Benfica
16 matches
| FC Porto | Statistic | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 12 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 17 | Goals For | 50 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.13 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5.14 | Shots On Goal | 6.38 |
| 13.71 | Total Shots | 10.23 |
| 6.71 | Corners | 5.46 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 48.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Benfica. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Porto expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Benfica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Benfica having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
FC Porto come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 6 matches. With 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:2, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by André Silva (3 goals), Gabri Veiga (2 goals), William (2 goals), with creative support from Gabri Veiga (2 assists), Pepê Aquino (2 assists), William (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Operating from 2 place with 13 points from 5 games, Benfica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 18:3 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on V. Pavlidis (6 goals), G. Prestianni (4 goals), L. Barreiro (2 goals), with creative support from V. Pavlidis (2 assists), G. Prestianni (2 assists), A. Schjelderup (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 6 times, Benfica won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from FC Porto's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
Home
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Benfica
Away
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|