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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 11:00
Gazovik Stadium
Referee: Stanislav Matveev, Russia
FC Orenburg
Match Timeline
Akron
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Evgeniy Bolotov
FC Orenburg
⚽
36'
G. Guzina · Assist: D. Rybchinskiy
FC Orenburg
🟨
44'
Khetag Khosonov
Akron
🔄
46'
K. Arevalo ↔ K. Bistrovic
Akron
🔄
46'
K. Maradishvili ↔ S. Tedic
Akron
🔄
62'
D. Puebla ↔ A. Kasadzhikov
FC Orenburg
🔄
62'
K. Khosonov ↔ K. Hovhannisyan
Akron
🟨
67'
Gilson Tavares
Akron
🟨
69'
Aleksey Tataev
FC Orenburg
⚽
75'
Dudu · Assist: Benchimol
Akron
⚽
78'
Benchimol · Assist: Y. Rocha
Akron
🔄
80'
D. Rybchinskiy ↔ R. Golybin
FC Orenburg
🔄
80'
G. Guzina ↔ Alexandre Jesus
FC Orenburg
🔄
80'
E. Nazarenko ↔ J. Thompson
FC Orenburg
⚽
83'
Alexandre Jesus · Assist: J. Thompson
FC Orenburg
🔄
86'
Dudu ↔ M. Bokoev
Akron
🔄
86'
D. Popenkov ↔ R. Fernandez
Akron
🟨
90+3'
Marat Bokoev
Akron

FC Orenburg vs Akron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.4%
Odds 4.59
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.4%
4.59 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.81 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.6%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.80 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Orenburg Win 40.2%
Draw 15.4%
Akron Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Orenburg1.45
Akron1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WWDLW
23 GF / 15 GA
Akron Akron
WLDWL
27 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.42
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
9
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
12
3.17
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 16 matches
Akron Akron 19 matches
FC Orenburg Statistic Akron
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 7
23 Goals For 27
15 Goals Against 28
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
9 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 6
3.17 Shots On Goal 4.17
12.5 Total Shots 12
3.33 Corners 4.83
38.5% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Akron. FC Orenburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 6 points compared to Akron in 15 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Orenburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Akron in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akron having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Orenburg Analysis

From their first 5 matches, FC Orenburg have collected 6 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 4:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrey Kasadzhikov (2 goals), Ruslan Kul (1 goals), Emil Tsenov (1 goals), with creative support from Andrey Kasadzhikov (1 assists), Ruslan Kul (1 assists), Maxime Sivis (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Akron Analysis

With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 15, Akron still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 6:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gilson Tavares (2 goals), Stefan Lončar (1 goals), Yomar Rocha (1 goals), with creative support from Gilson Tavares (1 assists), Stefan Lončar (1 assists), Roberto Fernández (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, FC Orenburg won 4 times, Akron won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from FC Orenburg's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1 / Akron 4-1-4-1
Missing players: FC Orenburg 4, Akron 10
H2H summary: FC Orenburg wins 4, draws 3, Akron wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
7 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
8 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
9 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
10 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
11 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
12 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
13
Akron Away
10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL