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SWITZERLAND › SUPER LEAGUE
10.05.2026 12:00
Stadio di Cornaredo
Referee: A. Dudic
FC Lugano
Match Timeline
FC ST. Gallen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Nino Weibel
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
32'
N. Weibel ↔ D. Besio
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
46'
A. Vogt ↔ M. Stevanovic
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
46'
J. Stanic ↔ J. Ruiz
FC ST. Gallen
🟨
52'
Renato Steffen
FC Lugano
⚽
53'
M. Belhadj · Assist: K. Behrens
FC Lugano
🟨
66'
Hugo Vandermersch
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
69'
Y. Cimignani ↔ E. Alioski
FC Lugano
🔄
69'
K. Behrens ↔ G. Koutsias
FC Lugano
⚽
69'
M. Stevanovic
FC ST. Gallen
VAR
72'
Lukas Daschner
FC ST. Gallen
🟨
73'
Hannes Delcroix
FC Lugano
⚽
74'
L. Gortler
FC ST. Gallen
🟨
77'
Carlo Boukhalfa
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
77'
M. Belhadj ↔ H. Mahou
FC Lugano
🔄
77'
L. Mai ↔ M. Bottani
FC Lugano
🔄
84'
A. Balde ↔ N. Scherrer
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
86'
A. Grgic ↔ E. Pihlstrom
FC Lugano
🟨
90+3'
Hicham Mahou
FC Lugano
VAR
90+5'
Renato Steffen
FC Lugano
🟨
90+7'
Mihailo Stevanović
FC ST. Gallen
🟨
90+6'
Lukas Daschner
FC ST. Gallen
🟨
90+3'
Diego Besio
FC ST. Gallen
🟨
90+2'
Lukas Görtler
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
90+9'
L. Daschner ↔ B. Fazliji
FC ST. Gallen

FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
41.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Lugano Win 33.8%
Draw 20.3%
FC ST. Gallen Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Lugano1.37
FC ST. Gallen1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Lugano FC Lugano
WWDLW
56 GF / 46 GA
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
WLDWL
66 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
22
BTTS Yes
25
17
Over 2.5
25
4.36
Shots on Goal
5.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Lugano FC Lugano 39 matches
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 35 matches
FC Lugano Statistic FC ST. Gallen
19 Wins 18
10 Draws 9
10 Losses 8
56 Goals For 66
46 Goals Against 44
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
22 BTTS Yes 25
26 Over 1.5 30
17 Over 2.5 25
11 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 4
4.36 Shots On Goal 5.46
12.49 Total Shots 15.66
3.67 Corners 5.4
53.3% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Lugano expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FC ST. Gallen in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC ST. Gallen having the stronger overall control. FC Lugano come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC ST. Gallen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

FC Lugano Analysis

FC Lugano come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 63 points after 35 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a 52:38 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Kevin Behrens (11 goals), A. Grgic (7 goals), R. Steffen (7 goals), with creative support from D. Dos Santos (10 assists), A. Grgic (6 assists), R. Steffen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC ST. Gallen Analysis

FC ST. Gallen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 63 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 66:44 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Vogt (15 goals), C. Boukhalfa (11 goals), A. Balde (10 goals), with creative support from Lukas Görtler (6 assists), C. Witzig (4 assists), A. Vogt (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Lugano won 4 times, FC ST. Gallen won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from FC Lugano's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Lugano 3-4-2-1 / FC ST. Gallen 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: FC Lugano wins 4, draws 5, FC ST. Gallen wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 24 2 7 75:37 38 74
D L L L L
2 33 17 9 7 64:40 24 60
D W W L W
3 33 16 9 8 50:38 12 57
W D L W W
4 33 15 8 10 51:45 6 53
L L L W L
5 33 13 13 7 51:35 16 52
D D W W W
6 33 13 9 11 65:60 5 48
D W W L L
7 33 10 10 13 64:61 3 40
W W D W W
8 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
W W D W W
9 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
L L L L W
10 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
L L W D L
11 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
W D W W L
12 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19
L L W D L
Championship round
Relegation Round