ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Tohver
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Laagri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
M. Kesa ↔ H. Palutaja
Laagri
39'
Wendell · Assist: M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
41'
M. Roosnupp · Assist: R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
45+2'
A. Nwankwo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
58'
H. Palutaja
Laagri
🔄
59'
S. Soo ↔ M. Kelement
Laagri
🔄
59'
R. Sillamaa ↔ J. Ndakala
Laagri
🔄
65'
Wendell ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
65'
M. Skvortsov ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
73'
K. Laur
Laagri
🔄
74'
F. Liivak ↔ Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
79'
I. Kartau ↔ R. Reimaa
Laagri
🔄
79'
A. Binate ↔ K. Ennuste
Laagri
🔄
84'
B. Tambedou ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn
90'
E. Otoo · Assist: J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 60.1%
Draw 9.1%
Laagri Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn2.01
Laagri1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
35 GF / 17 GA
Laagri Laagri
WLDWL
30 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 15 matches
Laagri Laagri 17 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Laagri
9 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
35 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 26
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Laagri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Laagri. FC Levadia Tallinn come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 24 points compared to Laagri in 5 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laagri having the stronger overall control.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 24 points after 10 matches. With 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:8, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Tambedou (9 goals), Wendell (4 goals), E. Otoo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Skvortsov (5 assists), M. Ainsalu (4 assists), J. Saliste (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Laagri Analysis

Placed 5 with 16 points from 10 outings, Laagri continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Eerme (3 goals), A. Binate (2 goals), A. Jarve (2 goals), with creative support from Rudenko Daniil (5 assists), K. Eerme (1 assists), A. Binate (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 7 times, Laagri won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:7 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 7, draws 2, Laagri wins 1

Lineups

FC Levadia Tallinn
Formation
Laagri
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
F. Liivak
F. Liivak
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
V. Iboro
V. Iboro
J. Saliste
🎯
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
🎯
R. Peetson
M. Ainsalu
M. Ainsalu
M. Skvortsov
M. Skvortsov
M. Roosnupp
🎯
M. Roosnupp
Wendell
Wendell
B. Tambedou
B. Tambedou
J. Vainula
J. Vainula
S. Liit
S. Liit
K. Laur
K. Laur
M. Kesa
M. Kesa
A. Jarve
A. Jarve
I. Kartau
I. Kartau
S. Soo
S. Soo
Rudenko Daniil
Rudenko Daniil
R. Sillamaa
R. Sillamaa
K. Kriis
K. Kriis
A. Binate
A. Binate
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
23
F. Liivak
↓ 74'
20
A. Nwankwo
🟨 45+2'
35
V. Iboro
29
J. Saliste
🎯 90'
6
R. Peetson
🎯 41'
11
M. Ainsalu
21
M. Skvortsov
↓ 65'
5
M. Roosnupp
⚽ 41' 🎯 39'
10
Wendell
⚽ 39' ↓ 65'
9
B. Tambedou
↓ 84'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
4
T. Tammik
7
G. Lehtmets
17
R. Kirss
↑ 84'
18
Alexandre
30
H. Liiv
33
E. Otoo
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
36
Joao Pedro
↑ 65'
71
Kaua Davi
↑ 74'
Laagri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Vainula
15
S. Liit
24
K. Laur
🟨 73'
22
M. Kesa
↓ 22'
4
A. Jarve
5
I. Kartau
↓ 79'
21
S. Soo
↓ 59'
23
Rudenko Daniil
13
R. Sillamaa
↓ 59'
16
K. Kriis
19
A. Binate
↓ 79'
Substitutes
79
R. Meesit
6
H. Palutaja
↑ 22' 🟨 58'
7
R. Reimaa
↑ 79'
9
K. Eerme
11
A. Kose
17
M. Kelement
↑ 59'
18
I. Bah
32
S. Kerge
41
E. Kajari
47
K. Ennuste
↑ 79'
53
J. Ndakala
↑ 59'
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
Last matches: Laagri
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
H2H: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri
09.05.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
W
08.11.25
H2H
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
19.07.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
28.02.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
26.09.23
H2H
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
12.08.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
1
1
D
06.05.23
H2H
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
6
1
W
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
4
L
14.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
1
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
1
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H at home: FC Levadia Tallinn
09.05.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
19.07.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
28.02.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
12.08.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
1
1
D
15.04.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
6
1
W
Last matches: Laagri
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
01.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
H2H away: Laagri
09.05.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
L
19.07.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
L
28.02.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
L
12.08.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
1
1
D
15.04.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
6
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga