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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
16.05.2026 10:00
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Referee: A. Mykhailiuk
FC Kharkiv
Match Timeline
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
B. Zabergja · Assist: Y. Protsenko
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
46'
C. Mba ↔ I. Kogut
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
46'
V. Kalitvintsev ↔ E. Rashica
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
46'
K. Kovalets ↔ Joaquinete
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
46'
V. Supryaga ↔ V. Sydun
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
56'
A. Matkevych ↔ J. Ceberio
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
62'
S. Castillo ↔ R. Gadzhyev
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
62'
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro ↔ I. Lytvynenko
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
64'
E. Zaporozhets ↔ O. Klymets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
⚽
74'
V. Sydun · Assist: O. Klymets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
80'
B. Zabergja ↔ Cauan Baptistella
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
81'
V. Tanchyk ↔ I. Kyryukhantsev
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

FC Kharkiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Kharkiv Win 91.2%
Draw 0%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Win 8.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Kharkiv1.35
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv
WWDLW
34 GF / 18 GA
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
WLDWL
35 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
10
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
15
2.77
Shots on Goal
2.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv 28 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 28 matches
FC Kharkiv Statistic Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
12 Wins 8
11 Draws 6
5 Losses 14
34 Goals For 35
18 Goals Against 44
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
10 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 10
2.77 Shots On Goal 2.54
9.5 Total Shots 7.04
4.46 Corners 2.38
36.8% Ball Possession 27.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's more proactive style and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Epitsentr Dunayivtsi having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 46 points compared to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in 12 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Kharkiv Analysis

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 46 points after 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, while the 32:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Itodo (9 goals), D. Antyukh (4 goals), C. Mba (3 goals), with creative support from D. Antyukh (4 assists), Vladyslav Kalitvintsev (3 assists), Ilya Krupskyi (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Analysis

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are currently 12 in the standings with 27 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, while the 32:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Sydun (7 goals), Joaquinete (6 goals), Carlos Rojas (3 goals), with creative support from Joaquinete (6 assists), Mykola Myronyuk (4 assists), Carlos Rojas (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, FC Kharkiv won 1 times, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from FC Kharkiv's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Kharkiv 4-1-4-1 / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Kharkiv wins 1, draws 2, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga