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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
11.10.2026 11:30
Audi Sportpark
Referee: Davina Lutz
FC Ingolstadt 04
Match Timeline
SV Wehen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Marcus Muller
SV Wehen
🟨
42'
Jonas Scholz
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
57'
Frederik Carlsen
FC Ingolstadt 04
⚽
59'
F. Hubner
SV Wehen
🔄
60'
D. Kaygin ↔ B. Kanuric
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
65'
Max Brandt
SV Wehen
🔄
67'
N. Velupillay ↔ J. Ganda
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
67'
F. Carlsen ↔ O. Ugondu
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
70'
Keanan Bennetts
FC Ingolstadt 04
⚽
71'
R. Paula · Assist: L. Schleimer
SV Wehen
🔄
72'
R. Paula ↔ M. Schultz
SV Wehen
⚽
72'
M. Schultz
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
77'
R. Massimo ↔ R. Kalem
SV Wehen
🔄
77'
M. Muller ↔ M. Flotho
SV Wehen
🔄
81'
V. Sapina ↔ L. Frode
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
81'
K. Bennetts ↔ E. Gul
FC Ingolstadt 04
⚽
82'
O. Ugondu · Assist: E. Gul
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
87'
Yannick Deichmann
FC Ingolstadt 04
⚽
88'
R. Kalem · Assist: L. Schleimer
SV Wehen
🔄
89'
B. Nink ↔ N. May
SV Wehen
⚽
90'
G. Fechner · Assist: R. Kalem
SV Wehen

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds 2.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
2.46 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.6%
1.38 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win 64.6%
Draw 7%
SV Wehen Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Ingolstadt 041.31
SV Wehen1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
WWDLW
19 GF / 23 GA
SV Wehen SV Wehen
WLDWL
14 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
3.57
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 15 matches
SV Wehen SV Wehen 16 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04 Statistic SV Wehen
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 8
19 Goals For 14
23 Goals Against 22
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
3.57 Shots On Goal 3.57
12.57 Total Shots 8.86
3.14 Corners 2.43
43.1% Ball Possession 35.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Ingolstadt 04 expected to line up in 3-3-3-1 and SV Wehen in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SV Wehen having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Ingolstadt 04 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SV Wehen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Ingolstadt 04 Analysis

With 8 points from 7 games and a place of 14, FC Ingolstadt 04 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 7:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

SV Wehen Analysis

With 5 points from 7 games and a place of 19, SV Wehen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 3 times, SV Wehen won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from FC Ingolstadt 04's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: FC Ingolstadt 04 3-3-3-1 / SV Wehen 4-4-2
H2H summary: FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 3, draws 1, SV Wehen wins 4

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 22:9 13 21
W W W L W
2 8 6 0 2 24:11 13 18
W W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W W
4 8 4 3 1 17:15 2 15
W D W L D
5 8 4 2 2 19:12 7 14
D W D L W
6 8 4 1 3 16:11 5 13
W W L W L
7 8 4 1 3 16:11 5 13
L W W D L
8 8 3 3 2 15:16 -1 12
D L D W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
L W L D W
10 8 3 2 3 8:9 -1 11
D L W W D
11 8 3 2 3 12:15 -3 11
D W D W W
12 8 2 4 2 8:8 0 10
D W L D D
13 8 2 2 4 18:17 1 8
W D L D L
14 8 2 2 4 13:16 -3 8
D D L L W
15 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
W L W L D
17 8 2 2 4 7:14 -7 8
L L D D W
18 8 2 1 5 11:17 -6 7
L L W L L
19 8 2 1 5 9:16 -7 7
D L L L L
20 8 1 1 6 10:20 -10 4
L L L D L
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation