🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Toyota Stadium
Referee: J. Dickerson
FC Dallas
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
S. Moreno · Assist: P. Musa
FC Dallas
🟨
23'
Osaze Urhoghide
FC Dallas
24'
Kaick
FC Dallas
🟨
35'
Morgan Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🟨
45+1'
Diego Luna
Real Salt Lake
🔄
58'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
67'
S. Moreno ↔ C. Cappis
FC Dallas
🔄
68'
J. Sanabria ↔ A. Katranis
Real Salt Lake
🔄
68'
S. Spierings ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake
🔄
76'
J. Valiente ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
76'
P. Musa ↔ L. Farrington
FC Dallas
🟨
81'
DeAndre Yedlin
Real Salt Lake
🔄
83'
D. Yedlin ↔ D. Marczuk
Real Salt Lake
85'
D. Luna · Assist: M. Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🔄
88'
R. Binyamin ↔ S. Ibeagha
FC Dallas
🟨
90+3'
Sam Sarver
FC Dallas
90'
S. Sarver · Assist: S. Ibeagha
FC Dallas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 38.6%
Draw 26.5%
Real Salt Lake Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.71
Real Salt Lake1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
28 GF / 17 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
25 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
9
4.82
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 15 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 13 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Real Salt Lake
6 Wins 7
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
28 Goals For 25
17 Goals Against 19
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
4.82 Shots On Goal 7
12.82 Total Shots 17
4.55 Corners 4.3
44.6% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Salt Lake. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FC Dallas Analysis

From their first 11 matches, FC Dallas have collected 16 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 20:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Musa (10 goals), L. Farrington (4 goals), L. Deedson (1 goals), with creative support from L. Farrington (2 assists), J. Valiente (2 assists), P. Musa (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake are currently 6 in the standings with 19 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Solans (5 goals), D. Luna (3 goals), Z. Gozo (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Gozo (3 assists), J. Sanabria (3 assists), S. Solans (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 6 times, Real Salt Lake won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:18 from FC Dallas's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.5%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-2-1 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
Missing players: FC Dallas 4, Real Salt Lake 6
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 6, draws 6, Real Salt Lake wins 3
Stats
FC Dallas FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 7
15 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
242 Total passes 657
178 Passes accurate 580
2.05 expected_goals 0.59
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Dallas
Formation
Real Salt Lake
M. Collodi
M. Collodi
H. Johansson
H. Johansson
S. Moore
S. Moore
O. Urhoghide
O. Urhoghide
N. Norris
N. Norris
J. Valiente
J. Valiente
Kaick
Kaick
Ramiro
Ramiro
R. Binyamin
R. Binyamin
S. Moreno
S. Moreno
P. Musa
🎯
P. Musa
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
D. Yedlin
D. Yedlin
P. Quinton
P. Quinton
S. Junqua
S. Junqua
Z. Gozo
Z. Gozo
S. Spierings
S. Spierings
N. Caliskan
N. Caliskan
J. Sanabria
J. Sanabria
M. Guilavogui
🎯
M. Guilavogui
D. Luna
D. Luna
S. Solans
S. Solans
FC Dallas 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
M. Collodi
G
14
H. Johansson
D
18
S. Moore
D
3
O. Urhoghide
🟨 23'
D
32
N. Norris
D
21
J. Valiente
↓ 76'
M
55
Kaick
⚽ 24'
M
17
Ramiro
M
6
R. Binyamin
↓ 88'
M
10
S. Moreno
⚽ 18' ↓ 67'
F
9
P. Musa
🎯 18' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Sirois
G
25
S. Ibeagha
🎯 90' ↑ 88'
D
12
C. Cappis
↑ 67'
M
8
P. Delgado
M
28
S. Sarver
⚽ 90' ↑ 76' 🟨 90+3'
F
23
L. Farrington
↑ 76'
F
5
L. Abubakar
D
16
N. Simmonds
F
27
C. Swann
M
Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Rafael Cabral
G
2
D. Yedlin
↓ 83' 🟨 81'
D
26
P. Quinton
D
29
S. Junqua
D
72
Z. Gozo
M
6
S. Spierings
↓ 68'
M
92
N. Caliskan
M
8
J. Sanabria
↓ 68'
M
9
M. Guilavogui
🎯 85' 🟨 35'
F
10
D. Luna
⚽ 85' 🟨 45+1'
F
22
S. Solans
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Stajduhar
G
98
A. Katranis
↑ 68'
D
7
P. Ruiz
M
3
K. Henry
D
11
D. Marczuk
↑ 83'
F
39
A. Hezarkhani
↑ 68'
F
17
V. Olatunji
↑ 58'
F
23
Z. Booth
M
27
G. Dillon
M
Last matches: FC Dallas
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
14.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
2
D
12.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
4
3
W
15.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Portimonense
4
0
W
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H: FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
10.05.26
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
30.01.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
23.03.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
W
19.09.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
L
26.05.24
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
3
D
21.09.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
W
16.04.23
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
28.08.22
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
W
28.10.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
05.09.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
L
23.05.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
25.10.20
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
0
D
28.07.19
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Dallas
14.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
23.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
2
D
12.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
4
3
W
15.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
3
3
D
01.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
H2H at home: FC Dallas
10.05.26
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
3
D
16.04.23
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
28.08.22
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
28.10.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
23.05.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
28.07.19
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Real Salt Lake
10.05.26
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
3
D
16.04.23
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
1
L
28.08.22
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
28.10.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
2
W
23.05.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
28.07.19
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

FC Dallas 4 missing
-
Geovane Jesus
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. A. Julio Santos
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
B. Kamungo
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
Alvaro Augusto
Questionable Injury
OUT
Real Salt Lake 6 missing
-
E. Eneli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Piol
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
J. J. Arias
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Barea
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Engel
Questionable Hip Injury
OUT
-
L. Moisa
Questionable Injury
OUT