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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
14.10.2026 23:30
TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Cincinnati Win 42.9%
Draw 11.5%
New England Revolution Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cincinnati1.91
New England Revolution2
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
WWDLW
80 GF / 75 GA
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WLDWL
61 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.91
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
25
BTTS Yes
21
25
Over 2.5
23
5.8
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 35 matches
New England Revolution New England Revolution 32 matches
FC Cincinnati Statistic New England Revolution
13 Wins 16
11 Draws 5
11 Losses 11
80 Goals For 61
75 Goals Against 43
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
25 BTTS Yes 21
32 Over 1.5 27
25 Over 2.5 23
22 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 6
5.8 Shots On Goal 4.81
13.93 Total Shots 12.56
4.67 Corners 4.74
49.3% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by New England Revolution's more proactive style and FC Cincinnati's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 46 points while FC Cincinnati sit 10 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cincinnati expected to line up in 3-5-2 and New England Revolution in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control. FC Cincinnati have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward New England Revolution.

FC Cincinnati Analysis

FC Cincinnati sit 10 with 33 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats with a 55:64 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kévin Denkey (12 goals), Evander (10 goals), T. Barlow (5 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), G. Valenzuela (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

New England Revolution Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 46 points from 27 games, New England Revolution bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a 45:36 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Carles Gil (11 goals), Peyton Miller (5 goals), Dor Turgeman (4 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (6 assists), Carles Gil (3 assists), M. Polster (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 5 times, New England Revolution won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:29 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-5-2 / New England Revolution 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 5, draws 4, New England Revolution wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 3 55:21 34 60
W W D L D
2 27 14 4 9 45:36 9 46
L W W W L
3 27 12 10 5 64:50 14 46
L D D D D
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W W L L D
5 27 12 7 8 47:38 9 43
L W D W D
6 27 11 6 10 54:44 10 39
W W W W W
7 27 10 4 13 48:64 -16 34
L L W W W
8 27 9 6 12 34:51 -17 33
L W W L D
9 27 8 9 10 41:36 5 33
D L W L D
10 26 8 9 9 55:64 -9 33
L D D L L
11 26 6 12 8 34:42 -8 30
D L D W D
12 27 8 5 14 39:43 -4 29
W W L L W
13 27 6 11 10 39:51 -12 29
L L L W D
14 27 7 6 14 32:45 -13 27
D W D L D
15 27 6 6 15 34:54 -20 24
W L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)