PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: J. Espinoza
FC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
ADT
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Ronny Biojo
ADT
🔄
46'
S. Peralta ↔ H. Barcos
FC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
B. Palacios ↔ S. Enciso
FC Cajamarca
46'
C. Meza · Assist: S. Enciso
FC Cajamarca
🔄
56'
A. Mazzo ↔ A. Cubas
ADT
🔄
56'
L. Perez ↔ J. Alvino
ADT
🔄
56'
L. Gomez ↔ N. Rengifo
ADT
62'
J. Narvaez
FC Cajamarca
🟨
65'
Mauricio Arrasco
FC Cajamarca
🟨
71'
Anthony Cubas
ADT
🔄
72'
M. Arrasco ↔ E. Paucar
FC Cajamarca
🔄
72'
P. Lavandeira Hernandez ↔ J. Betancourt
FC Cajamarca
🔄
72'
J. Guivin Tanta ↔ A. Gutierrez
ADT
VAR
77'
John Narvaez
ADT
80'
V. Cedron
ADT
🔄
81'
C. Meza ↔ P. Miguez
FC Cajamarca
90'
J. Rojas · Assist: C. Cabello
ADT

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.5%
-
Probability Distribution
FC Cajamarca Win 66.3%
Draw 0%
ADT Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cajamarca1.26
ADT1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WWDLW
12 GF / 18 GA
ADT ADT
WLDWL
10 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
2.44
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 10 matches
ADT ADT 11 matches
FC Cajamarca Statistic ADT
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
12 Goals For 10
18 Goals Against 15
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
2.44 Shots On Goal 4.6
6.89 Total Shots 12.9
2.78 Corners 4.6
41.2% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ADT. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 5 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:17 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Barcos (7 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), B. Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from T. Andrade (3 assists), H. Barcos (1 assists), A. Rodriguez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

ADT sit 15 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Guivin Tanta (2 goals), Luis Benites (2 goals), A. Mazzo (1 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (3 assists), Luis Benites (1 assists), Víctor Cedrón (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Cajamarca won 1 times, ADT won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from FC Cajamarca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / ADT 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Cajamarca wins 1, draws 1, ADT wins 0
Stats
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
ADT ADT
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 3
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 9
5 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
3 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 9
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
263 Total passes 460
193 Passes accurate 382
1.12 expected_goals 1.35
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Cajamarca
Formation
ADT
C. Mosquera
C. Mosquera
J. C. Vega
J. C. Vega
A. Rodas
A. Rodas
B. Bernaola
B. Bernaola
H. Timana
H. Timana
J. G. Orejuela
J. G. Orejuela
P. Lavandeira Hernandez
P. Lavandeira Hernandez
C. Meza
C. Meza
M. Arrasco
M. Arrasco
B. Palacios
B. Palacios
S. Peralta
S. Peralta
J. Valencia
J. Valencia
R. Biojo
R. Biojo
J. Narvaez
J. Narvaez
J. Soto
J. Soto
C. Cabello
🎯
C. Cabello
L. Perez
L. Perez
J. Guivin Tanta
J. Guivin Tanta
L. Gomez
L. Gomez
V. Cedron
V. Cedron
J. Rojas
J. Rojas
A. Mazzo
A. Mazzo
FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Mosquera
G
30
J. C. Vega
D
14
A. Rodas
D
5
B. Bernaola
D
26
H. Timana
D
18
J. G. Orejuela
M
10
P. Lavandeira Hernandez
↓ 72'
M
20
C. Meza
⚽ 46' ↓ 81'
M
11
M. Arrasco
↓ 72' 🟨 65'
M
17
B. Palacios
↓ 46'
M
19
S. Peralta
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
S. Aspajo
G
25
E. Paucar
↑ 72'
M
9
H. Barcos
↑ 46'
F
6
P. Miguez
↑ 81'
D
27
J. Betancourt
↑ 72'
4
J. A. Rosell Delgado
D
31
S. Enciso
🎯 46' ↑ 46'
M
44
C. Gomez
29
F. Ocas
F
ADT 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
30
J. Valencia
G
4
R. Biojo
🟨 29'
D
23
J. Narvaez
⚽ 62'
D
28
J. Soto
D
14
C. Cabello
🎯 90'
M
16
L. Perez
↓ 56'
M
8
J. Guivin Tanta
↓ 72'
M
13
L. Gomez
↓ 56'
M
10
V. Cedron
⚽ 80'
F
7
J. Rojas
⚽ 90'
F
18
A. Mazzo
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
33
C. Solis
G
5
J. Vega
M
20
A. Gutierrez
↑ 72'
D
31
J. Navarro
D
25
S. Garcia
11
A. Cubas
↑ 56' 🟨 71'
M
15
J. Alvino
↑ 56'
37
N. Rengifo
↑ 56'
F
3
L. Rugel
D
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
31.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
3
1
W
08.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
0
3
L
13.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
3
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
3
3
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
Last matches: ADT
30.05.26
Pri
ADT
Cusco
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
ADT
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
ADT
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
0
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
H2H: FC Cajamarca vs ADT
18.04.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
18.01.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
31.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
3
2
W
06.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
H2H at home: FC Cajamarca
18.04.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
18.01.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
Last matches: ADT
24.05.26
Pri
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
0
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
H2H away: ADT
18.04.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
18.01.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10
ADT Away
17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)