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18.04.2026 18:00
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: Jordi Espinoza, Peru
FC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
ADT
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Ronny Biojo
ADT
⚽
46'
Carlos Meza · Assist: Sebastián Enciso
FC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
Brandon Palacios ↔ Sebastián Enciso
FC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
Said Peralta ↔ Hernán Barcos
FC Cajamarca
🔄
56'
Aylton Mazzo ↔ Anthony Cubas
ADT
🔄
56'
Luis Pérez ↔ Josué Alvino
ADT
🔄
56'
Luis Gomez ↔ Nicolás Rengifo
ADT
⚽
62'
John Narvaez
FC Cajamarca
🟨
65'
Mauricio Arrasco
FC Cajamarca
🟨
71'
Anthony Cubas
ADT
🔄
72'
Mauricio Arrasco ↔ Emmanuel Páucar
FC Cajamarca
🔄
72'
Pablo Lavandeira ↔ Jonathan Betancourt
FC Cajamarca
🔄
72'
Jordan Guivin ↔ Arthur Gutiérrez
ADT
VAR
77'
John Narvaez
ADT
⚽
80'
Víctor Cedrón
ADT
🔄
81'
Carlos Meza ↔ Pablo Miguez
FC Cajamarca
⚽
90+5'
Joao Rojas · Assist: Carlos Cabello
ADT

FC Cajamarca vs ADT Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Cajamarca Win 66.3%
Draw 0%
ADT Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cajamarca1.26
ADT1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WWDLW
12 GF / 18 GA
ADT ADT
WLDWL
10 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
2.44
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 10 matches
ADT ADT 11 matches
FC Cajamarca Statistic ADT
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
12 Goals For 10
18 Goals Against 15
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
2.44 Shots On Goal 4.6
6.89 Total Shots 12.9
2.78 Corners 4.6
41.2% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ADT. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 5 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:17 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Barcos (7 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), B. Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from T. Andrade (3 assists), H. Barcos (1 assists), A. Rodriguez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

ADT sit 15 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Guivin Tanta (2 goals), Luis Benites (2 goals), A. Mazzo (1 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (3 assists), Luis Benites (1 assists), Víctor Cedrón (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Cajamarca won 1 times, ADT won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from FC Cajamarca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / ADT 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Cajamarca wins 1, draws 1, ADT wins 0

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 8 3 46:19 27 59
W W L D L
2 28 14 8 6 45:33 12 50
D L W D W
3 28 14 6 8 39:25 14 48
L W L W W
4 28 13 8 7 47:31 16 47
D D W W L
5 28 14 3 11 41:40 1 45
L W L W W
6 28 13 5 10 48:40 8 44
W D L W L
7 28 12 7 9 43:36 7 43
W W L W W
8 28 12 7 9 36:45 -9 43
D D L L L
9 28 12 5 11 49:40 9 41
W W W W L
10 28 10 8 10 30:29 1 38
L D W L W
11 28 11 5 12 38:44 -6 38
W W W W W
12 28 9 8 11 43:53 -10 35
D W W D W
13 28 9 6 13 26:31 -5 33
D L W L W
14 28 7 10 11 36:39 -3 31
D L L D L
15 28 7 7 14 41:52 -11 28
D L W L W
16
ADT Away
28 6 8 14 29:42 -13 26
D W L L L
17 28 6 7 15 24:43 -19 25
L L L L L
18 28 4 8 16 32:51 -19 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2