AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Hofmann Personal Stadion
Referee: J. Weinberger
FC BW Linz
Match Timeline
Grazer AK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Martin Kreuzriegler
Grazer AK
6'
C. Lichtenberger · Assist: L. Klassen
Grazer AK
🔄
21'
T. Schriebl ↔ T. Koch
Grazer AK
🟨
45+3'
Tobias Koch
Grazer AK
🔄
46'
S. Pirkl ↔ I. Dahlqvist
FC BW Linz
🔄
46'
M. Kreuzriegler ↔ L. Vraa-Jensen
Grazer AK
51'
A. Hofleitner · Assist: M. Olesen
Grazer AK
🔄
63'
N. Maier ↔ C. Cvetko
FC BW Linz
🔄
63'
F. Strauss ↔ E. Bakatukanda
FC BW Linz
🔄
65'
A. Hofleitner ↔ D. Maderner
Grazer AK
🔄
65'
C. Lichtenberger ↔ M. Satin
Grazer AK
🟨
75'
Dominik Reiter
FC BW Linz
🔄
78'
S. Weissman ↔ P. Mensah
FC BW Linz
🔄
85'
A. Pasic ↔ D. Riegler
FC BW Linz
🔄
87'
R. Harakate ↔ D. Frieser
Grazer AK
90'
D. Maderner · Assist: T. Koch
Grazer AK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC BW Linz Win 73.4%
Draw 6.3%
Grazer AK Win 20.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC BW Linz1.36
Grazer AK1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
WWDLW
46 GF / 50 GA
Grazer AK Grazer AK
WLDWL
39 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
15
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
18
3.68
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 35 matches
Grazer AK Grazer AK 32 matches
FC BW Linz Statistic Grazer AK
10 Wins 8
6 Draws 10
19 Losses 14
46 Goals For 39
50 Goals Against 46
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
15 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 4
12 Failed To Score 11
3.68 Shots On Goal 3.39
12.48 Total Shots 9.9
4.45 Corners 3.94
49.5% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Grazer AK. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC BW Linz expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Grazer AK in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grazer AK having the stronger overall control.

FC BW Linz Analysis

FC BW Linz sit 6 with 21 points after 31 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 37:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronivaldo (9 goals), S. Weissman (9 goals), S. Seidl (8 goals), with creative support from S. Pirkl (5 assists), S. Seidl (4 assists), D. Bumberger (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Grazer AK Analysis

Grazer AK arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 24 points after 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 39:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Harakate (11 goals), D. Maderner (7 goals), Alexander Hofleitner (4 goals), with creative support from R. Harakate (4 assists), Alexander Hofleitner (3 assists), D. Maderner (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC BW Linz won 4 times, Grazer AK won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from FC BW Linz's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: FC BW Linz 3-4-1-2 / Grazer AK 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: FC BW Linz wins 4, draws 3, Grazer AK wins 7
Stats
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
Grazer AK Grazer AK
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 5
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
442 Total passes 269
336 Passes accurate 166
0.84 expected_goals 1.85
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC BW Linz
Formation
Grazer AK
N. Mantl
N. Mantl
A. Pasic
A. Pasic
M. Maranda
M. Maranda
F. Strauss
F. Strauss
D. Reiter
D. Reiter
S. Seidl
S. Seidl
A. Briedl
A. Briedl
S. Pirkl
S. Pirkl
N. Maier
N. Maier
Ronivaldo
Ronivaldo
S. Weissman
S. Weissman
F. Stolz
F. Stolz
B. Owusu
B. Owusu
D. Pines
D. Pines
M. Kreuzriegler
M. Kreuzriegler
M. Olesen
🎯
M. Olesen
J. Italiano
J. Italiano
T. Schriebl
T. Schriebl
C. Lichtenberger
C. Lichtenberger
L. Klassen
🎯
L. Klassen
A. Hofleitner
A. Hofleitner
R. Harakate
R. Harakate
FC BW Linz 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
58
N. Mantl
G
17
A. Pasic
↓ 85'
D
15
M. Maranda
D
2
F. Strauss
↓ 63'
D
29
D. Reiter
🟨 75'
M
20
S. Seidl
M
19
A. Briedl
M
60
S. Pirkl
↓ 46'
M
30
N. Maier
↓ 63'
F
9
Ronivaldo
F
18
S. Weissman
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
13
V. Oelz
G
14
C. Cvetko
↑ 63'
M
5
I. Dahlqvist
↑ 46'
M
6
M. Fofana
M
22
D. Riegler
↑ 85'
D
16
M. Moormann
D
23
D. Bumberger
D
10
P. Mensah
↑ 78'
F
4
E. Bakatukanda
↑ 63'
D
Grazer AK 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
12
F. Stolz
G
82
B. Owusu
D
2
D. Pines
D
4
M. Kreuzriegler
↓ 46' 🟨 5'
D
6
M. Olesen
🎯 51'
M
14
J. Italiano
M
20
T. Schriebl
↓ 21'
M
10
C. Lichtenberger
⚽ 6' ↓ 65'
M
32
L. Klassen
🎯 6'
M
25
A. Hofleitner
⚽ 51' ↓ 65'
F
22
R. Harakate
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
98
F. Ehmann
G
1
J. Meierhofer
G
9
D. Maderner
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
F
7
M. Satin
↑ 65'
M
8
T. Koch
🎯 90' ↑ 21' 🟨 45+3'
M
3
L. Vraa-Jensen
↑ 46'
D
28
D. Frieser
↑ 87'
11
M. Grosse
F
24
T. Paumgartner
Last matches: FC BW Linz
09.05.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Ried
0
2
L
24.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
3
0
W
21.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
3
0
W
18.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
5
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
2
L
21.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Ried
3
2
W
14.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
1
3
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
TSV Hartberg
1
1
D
01.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
2
3
L
22.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
15.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
0
1
L
30.01.26
Cup
FC BW Linz
Lask Linz
2
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Admira Wacker
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Cukaricki
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Zlin
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
WSPG Wels
2
2
D
14.12.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Rapid Vienna
1
1
D
Last matches: Grazer AK
24.06.26
Fri
Grazer AK
Slovan Bratislava
0
1
L
19.06.26
Fri
Grazer AK
Gyori ETO FC
2
2
D
09.05.26
Bun
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
2
2
D
02.05.26
Bun
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
4
0
W
25.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
21.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Ried
1
2
L
17.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Ried
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
0
1
L
04.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Grazer AK
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
21.03.26
Bun
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
5
1
W
14.03.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
2
0
W
08.03.26
Bun
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
0
2
L
01.03.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Ried
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
Grazer AK
TSV Hartberg
0
1
L
15.02.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
08.02.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Grazer AK
Voitsberg
5
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Grazer AK
Radomlje
1
1
D
H2H: FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK
16.05.26
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
0
3
L
04.04.26
H2H
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
2
1
L
29.11.25
H2H
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
3
1
L
13.09.25
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
3
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
2
2
D
28.04.23
H2H
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
0
3
W
12.08.22
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
1
D
01.04.22
H2H
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
1
0
L
10.09.21
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
0
W
11.04.21
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
5
0
W
26.10.20
H2H
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
3
1
L
29.02.20
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
1
D
02.08.19
H2H
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
2
0
L
Last matches: FC BW Linz
24.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
3
0
W
21.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
5
0
W
21.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Ried
3
2
W
01.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
2
3
L
15.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Admira Wacker
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Cukaricki
1
1
D
14.12.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Rapid Vienna
1
1
D
06.12.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
L
22.11.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Austria Vienna
2
3
L
01.11.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Lask Linz
0
1
L
28.10.25
Cup
FC BW Linz
TSV Hartberg
1
1
D
19.10.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Sturm Graz
3
4
L
27.09.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
1
0
W
13.09.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
3
0
W
23.08.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Ried
0
2
L
09.08.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
TSV Hartberg
0
1
L
H2H at home: FC BW Linz
16.05.26
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
0
3
L
13.09.25
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
3
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
2
L
12.08.22
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
1
D
10.09.21
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
0
W
11.04.21
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
5
0
W
29.02.20
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
1
D
Last matches: Grazer AK
25.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
21.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Ried
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
0
1
L
21.03.26
Bun
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
5
1
W
08.03.26
Bun
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
0
2
L
21.02.26
Bun
Grazer AK
TSV Hartberg
0
1
L
08.02.26
Bun
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
21.01.26
Fri
Grazer AK
Radomlje
1
1
D
07.12.25
Bun
Grazer AK
Sturm Graz
1
2
L
23.11.25
Bun
Grazer AK
Rapid Vienna
2
1
W
08.11.25
Bun
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna
1
2
L
25.10.25
Bun
Grazer AK
Lask Linz
0
1
L
27.09.25
Bun
Grazer AK
Ried
0
0
D
13.09.25
Bun
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz
0
3
L
24.08.25
Bun
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
1
1
D
09.08.25
Bun
Grazer AK
Red Bull Salzburg
0
5
L
25.07.25
Cup
Grazer AK
Dornbirn
0
1
L
H2H away: Grazer AK
16.05.26
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
0
3
W
13.09.25
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
3
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
2
W
12.08.22
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
1
D
10.09.21
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
0
L
11.04.21
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
5
0
L
29.02.20
H2H
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
1
D

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)