Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FC Basel 1893 Win 70.8%
Draw 14.6%
FC Aarau Win 14.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Basel 18933.3
FC Aarau2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Basel 1893
WWDLW
14 GF / 14 GA
FC Aarau
WLDWL
8 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
3.5
Average Goals Scored
2
3.5
Average Goals Conceded
3
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Basel 1893
4 matches
FC Aarau
4 matches
| FC Basel 1893 | Statistic | FC Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 14 | Goals For | 8 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 3.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 3.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 3 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, FC Basel 1893 won 1 times, FC Aarau won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from FC Basel 1893's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Basel 1893 4-3-3 / FC Aarau 5-3-2
H2H summary: FC Basel 1893 wins 1, draws 1, FC Aarau wins 1
Last matches: FC Basel 1893
26.06.26
Fri
FC Basel 1893
Rapperswil
3
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
0
4
L
14.05.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
1
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
0
3
L
02.05.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Thun
3
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
0
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Thun
1
3
L
04.04.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
3
3
D
26.03.26
Fri
FC Basel 1893
FC Vaduz
2
5
L
22.03.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
2
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
Servette FC
3
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
0
3
L
05.03.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
Grasshoppers
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
Lausanne
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
2
4
L
15.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
1
1
D
12.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
0
2
L
08.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
2
1
W
01.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Thun
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
FC Basel 1893
Plzen
0
1
L
Last matches: FC Aarau
30.06.26
Fri
FC Aarau
St. Gallen II
1
3
L
21.05.26
Sup
FC Aarau
Grasshoppers
1
2
L
18.05.26
Sup
FC Aarau
Grasshoppers
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
FC Aarau
FC Schaffhausen
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
FC Aarau
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
4
L
06.01.26
Fri
FC Aarau
Dynamo Dresden
2
3
L
H2H: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau
10.01.24
H2H
FC Basel 1893
FC Aarau
2
3
L
18.09.22
H2H
FC Aarau
FC Basel 1893
1
3
W
10.07.21
H2H
FC Basel 1893
FC Aarau
3
3
D
Last matches: FC Basel 1893
14.05.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
1
3
L
02.05.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Thun
3
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
0
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
3
3
D
26.03.26
Fri
FC Basel 1893
FC Vaduz
2
5
L
15.03.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
Servette FC
3
1
W
05.03.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
Grasshoppers
1
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
1
1
D
08.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
2
1
W
01.02.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Thun
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
FC Basel 1893
Plzen
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
FC Basel 1893
SV Elversberg
5
6
L
20.12.25
Sup
FC Basel 1893
Servette FC
1
1
D
14.12.25
Sup
FC Basel 1893
Lausanne
0
0
D
11.12.25
UEF
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
1
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
0
0
D
09.11.25
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
0
1
L
06.11.25
UEF
FC Basel 1893
FCSB
3
1
W
29.10.25
Sup
FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
2
0
W
H2H at home: FC Basel 1893
10.01.24
H2H
FC Basel 1893
FC Aarau
2
3
L
10.07.21
H2H
FC Basel 1893
FC Aarau
3
3
D
Last matches: FC Aarau
21.05.26
Sup
FC Aarau
Grasshoppers
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
FC Aarau
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
4
L
06.01.26
Fri
FC Aarau
Dynamo Dresden
2
3
L
H2H away: FC Aarau
10.01.24
H2H
FC Basel 1893
FC Aarau
2
3
W
10.07.21
H2H
FC Basel 1893
FC Aarau
3
3
D