Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.2%
|
- |
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FBC Melgar
13 matches
Universitario
14 matches
| FBC Melgar | Statistic | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 22 | Goals For | 18 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.8 | Shots On Goal | 4.27 |
| 12.8 | Total Shots | 13.18 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 6.45 |
| 50.8% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Universitario's more proactive style and FBC Melgar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universitario. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FBC Melgar expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Universitario in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Universitario carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 18 points while FBC Melgar sit 6 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 10 matches, FBC Melgar have collected 14 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Vidales (4 goals), B. Cuesta (3 goals), C. Bordacahar (2 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (3 assists), B. Cuesta (2 assists), M. Zegarra (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Universitario come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 18 points after 9 matches. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Valera (5 goals), L. Alzugaray (2 goals), M. Perez Guedes (2 goals), with creative support from J. Concha (3 assists), J. Carabali (2 assists), A. Valera (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 3 times, Universitario won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
FBC Melgar
4
3
4
8
1
1
Lineups
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Macara
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Macara
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Cusco
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Universitario
Away
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Home
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
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