TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Ataturk Olimpiyat
Referee: O. Cakir
Fatih Karagümrük
Match Timeline
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
T. Cukur · Assist: I. Lichnovsky
Fatih Karagümrük
🟨
45+4'
Igor Lichnovsky
Fatih Karagümrük
🟨
45+6'
Dimitris Goutas
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
VAR
45+3'
Adama Malouda Traoré
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
46'
T. Ahmed ↔ Serginho
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
46'
B. Kalayci ↔ S. Larsson
Fatih Karagümrük
🟨
49'
Abdurrahim Dursun
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
59'
B. Ozcan ↔ B. Elmaz
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
69'
S. Onur ↔ C. Canak
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🟨
70'
Tiago Cukur
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
77'
M. Mimaroglu ↔ G. Gurpuz
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
78'
A. Traore ↔ M. Niang
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
82'
F. Tongya ↔ P. Pereira
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
82'
A. Dursun ↔ O. Ulgun
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
84'
T. Cukur ↔ A. Cinar
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
90+3'
S. Babicka ↔ C. Kurukalip
Fatih Karagümrük

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
51.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fatih Karagümrük Win 82.6%
Draw 0%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fatih Karagümrük1.09
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
WWDLW
27 GF / 53 GA
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WLDWL
30 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
15
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
16
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 31 matches
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 31 matches
Fatih Karagümrük Statistic Gençlerbirliği S.K.
5 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
20 Losses 17
27 Goals For 30
53 Goals Against 44
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
15 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 12
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.19
10.81 Total Shots 10.45
3.77 Corners 3.87
45.6% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fatih Karagümrük expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Gençlerbirliği S.K. in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gençlerbirliği S.K. having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gençlerbirliği S.K.. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Fatih Karagümrük Analysis

With 21 points from 31 games and a place of 18, Fatih Karagümrük still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 27:53, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Serginho (8 goals), D. D. Fofana (6 goals), A. Cinar (3 goals), with creative support from D. Johnson (3 assists), D. Verde (3 assists), S. Larsson (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Analysis

Gençlerbirliği S.K. approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 28 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 30:44 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Sekou Koita (6 goals), M. Mimaroglu (5 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), with creative support from G. Gurpuz (5 assists), M. Mimaroglu (2 assists), M. Niang (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Şahindere unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Fatih Karagümrük won 3 times, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Fatih Karagümrük's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fatih Karagümrük 4-4-2 / Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Fatih Karagümrük 4, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4
H2H summary: Fatih Karagümrük wins 3, draws 1, Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins 2
Stats
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
1 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 11
0 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
339 Total passes 563
247 Passes accurate 483
0.81 expected_goals 2.14
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fatih Karagümrük
Formation
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
I. Grbic
I. Grbic
R. Esgaio
R. Esgaio
D. Biraschi
D. Biraschi
I. Lichnovsky
🎯
I. Lichnovsky
F. Mladenovic
F. Mladenovic
B. Ozcan
B. Ozcan
M. Kranevitter
M. Kranevitter
T. Ahmed
T. Ahmed
B. Kalayci
B. Kalayci
S. Babicka
S. Babicka
T. Cukur
T. Cukur
R. Velho
R. Velho
F. Uzum
F. Uzum
D. Goutas
D. Goutas
Z. Zuzek
Z. Zuzek
A. Dursun
A. Dursun
O. Diabate
O. Diabate
S. Onur
S. Onur
A. Traore
A. Traore
F. Tongya
F. Tongya
M. Mimaroglu
M. Mimaroglu
S. Koita
S. Koita
Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
I. Grbic
G
47
R. Esgaio
D
4
D. Biraschi
D
3
I. Lichnovsky
🎯 17' 🟨 45+4'
D
25
F. Mladenovic
D
8
B. Ozcan
↓ 59'
M
5
M. Kranevitter
M
88
T. Ahmed
↓ 46'
M
72
B. Kalayci
↓ 46'
M
80
S. Babicka
↓ 90+3'
M
21
T. Cukur
⚽ 17' ↓ 84' 🟨 70'
F
Substitutes
99
F. Beklevic
G
22
F. Kurucuk
D
70
Serginho
↑ 46'
M
33
C. Kurukalip
↑ 90+3'
D
24
B. Ersoy
M
32
M. Kadioglu
D
23
S. Larsson
↑ 46'
M
6
B. Elmaz
↑ 59'
M
94
A. Cinar
↑ 84'
D
19
Y. Onogo
M
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
R. Velho
G
88
F. Uzum
D
6
D. Goutas
🟨 45+6'
D
4
Z. Zuzek
D
77
A. Dursun
↓ 82' 🟨 49'
D
42
O. Diabate
M
8
S. Onur
↓ 69'
M
20
A. Traore
↓ 78'
M
70
F. Tongya
↓ 82'
M
10
M. Mimaroglu
↓ 77'
M
22
S. Koita
F
Substitutes
18
E. Erenturk
G
29
M. Niang
↑ 78'
F
23
M. Hanousek
D
61
E. Kemaloglu
M
15
T. Dele-Bashiru
M
99
C. Canak
↑ 69'
F
44
A. Celik
M
13
P. Pereira
↑ 82'
D
35
O. Ulgun
↑ 82'
M
11
G. Gurpuz
↑ 77'
M
Last matches: Fatih Karagümrük
16.05.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
09.05.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
27.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Beşiktaş
0
0
D
18.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Eyüpspor
1
2
L
12.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Konyaspor
0
3
L
05.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
2
1
W
19.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor
0
1
L
13.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
2
0
W
08.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
1
1
D
27.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor
1
3
L
22.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
0
0
D
16.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa
2
3
L
07.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
1
0
W
31.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe
1
2
L
24.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Galatasaray
1
3
L
17.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
2
L
06.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Universitatea Cluj
2
1
W
21.12.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
2
L
14.12.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
Last matches: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
17.05.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
3
0
W
09.05.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa
3
2
W
26.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
18.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Galatasaray
1
2
L
11.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
0
3
L
04.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Göztepe
0
2
L
19.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Konyaspor
0
1
L
15.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
0
2
L
09.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Alanyaspor
0
0
D
01.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kayserispor
0
0
D
21.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Eyüpspor
0
1
L
14.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Rizespor
2
2
D
09.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
01.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Gaziantep FK
2
1
W
25.01.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Antalyaspor
1
2
L
18.01.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Samsunspor
1
1
D
08.01.26
Fri
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Rizespor
2
1
W
22.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
4
3
W
12.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
07.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
3
0
W
H2H: Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
03.05.26
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
0
W
07.12.25
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
3
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
0
D
08.12.24
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
1
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
5
1
W
15.01.21
H2H
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
1
3
W
Last matches: Fatih Karagümrük
16.05.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
18.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Eyüpspor
1
2
L
05.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
2
1
W
13.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
2
0
W
22.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
0
0
D
07.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
1
0
W
24.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Galatasaray
1
3
L
09.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
2
L
06.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Universitatea Cluj
2
1
W
14.12.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
30.11.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Beşiktaş
0
2
L
09.11.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Konyaspor
2
0
W
24.10.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor
2
2
D
05.10.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
0
2
L
27.09.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor
3
4
L
17.09.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
0
2
L
13.09.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa
0
1
L
22.08.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe
0
2
L
H2H at home: Fatih Karagümrük
03.05.26
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
0
D
08.05.21
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
5
1
W
Last matches: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
17.05.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Trabzonspor
3
0
W
11.04.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
0
3
L
19.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Konyaspor
0
1
L
09.03.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Alanyaspor
0
0
D
21.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Eyüpspor
0
1
L
09.02.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
25.01.26
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Antalyaspor
1
2
L
08.01.26
Fri
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Rizespor
2
1
W
12.12.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
28.11.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
0
1
L
22.11.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Galatasaray
2
3
L
01.11.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Göztepe
0
1
L
18.10.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
2
1
W
28.09.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kayserispor
1
1
D
15.09.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Rizespor
0
1
L
23.08.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Gaziantep FK
1
2
L
09.08.25
Süp
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Samsunspor
1
2
L
H2H away: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
03.05.26
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
0
D
08.05.21
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
5
1
L

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

Missing Players

Fatih Karagümrük 4 missing
-
J. Camacho
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
D. Verde
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Kone
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
A. Sivri
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4 missing
-
P. Etebo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Kyabou
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Sahindere
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
H. Onyekuru
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT