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Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Farnborough Win 35.8%
Draw 21.6%
Weston-super-Mare Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Farnborough1.22
Weston-super-Mare1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Farnborough Farnborough
L W L D L
4 GF / 10 GA
Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare
L D L D D
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
8
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Farnborough Farnborough 20 matches
Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 20 matches
Farnborough Statistic Weston-super-Mare
7 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
9 Losses 8
22 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 28
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
8 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Weston-super-Mare's more proactive style and Farnborough's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Weston-super-Mare having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Weston-super-Mare. Farnborough have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Farnborough Analysis

Farnborough sit 17 with 14 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Weston-super-Mare Analysis

So far, Weston-super-Mare have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 18 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)

Standings

National League N/S: South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 23:14 9 26
D W W L L
2 11 7 4 0 26:6 20 25
W D W W W
3 12 7 3 2 21:11 10 24
W W D W L
4 13 7 2 4 12:9 3 23
W L D W L
5 12 6 4 2 21:9 12 22
D W W W D
6 11 6 3 2 25:14 11 21
W W W D
7 13 6 3 4 24:14 10 21
D W W L D
8 12 5 5 2 26:18 8 20
W D W D D
9 12 6 2 4 23:16 7 20
W L D W W
10 13 5 4 4 20:14 6 19
W W D L L
11 12 5 4 3 19:18 1 19
D D W W W
12 12 5 3 4 20:17 3 18
L D L W
13 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
W D W L D
14 12 4 5 3 19:16 3 17
D W L D W
15 11 2 9 0 17:11 6 15
D W D D D
16 13 3 5 5 11:14 -3 14
L L D W D
17 12 4 2 6 10:19 -9 14
L W L D L
18 13 3 4 6 13:18 -5 13
L L L W D
19 13 4 1 8 12:24 -12 13
W L L L L
20 12 3 1 8 16:26 -10 10
L L L W L
21 12 3 1 8 18:33 -15 10
L L L L L
22 12 2 2 8 14:30 -16 8
L L L D W
23 12 2 2 8 10:28 -18 8
L W W D D
24 13 1 1 11 13:34 -21 4
L L L D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation