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Farnborough vs Horsham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Farnborough Win 28.2%
Draw 17%
Horsham Win 54.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Farnborough1.16
Horsham1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Farnborough Farnborough
L W L D L
4 GF / 10 GA
Horsham Horsham
W D W L L
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
8
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Farnborough Farnborough 20 matches
Horsham Horsham 19 matches
Farnborough Statistic Horsham
7 Wins 7
4 Draws 6
9 Losses 6
22 Goals For 25
29 Goals Against 24
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
8 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Horsham. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Horsham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Farnborough have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Farnborough Analysis

Farnborough sit 17 with 14 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Horsham Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Horsham have collected 18 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, while the 15:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83%)

Standings

National League N/S: South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 23:14 9 26
D W W L L
2 11 7 4 0 26:6 20 25
W D W W W
3 12 7 3 2 21:11 10 24
W W D W L
4 13 7 2 4 12:9 3 23
W L D W L
5 12 6 4 2 21:9 12 22
D W W W D
6 11 6 3 2 25:14 11 21
W W W D
7 13 6 3 4 24:14 10 21
D W W L D
8 12 5 5 2 26:18 8 20
W D W D D
9 12 6 2 4 23:16 7 20
W L D W W
10 13 5 4 4 20:14 6 19
W W D L L
11 12 5 4 3 19:18 1 19
D D W W W
12 12 5 3 4 20:17 3 18
L D L W
13 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
W D W L D
14 12 4 5 3 19:16 3 17
D W L D W
15 11 2 9 0 17:11 6 15
D W D D D
16 13 3 5 5 11:14 -3 14
L L D W D
17 12 4 2 6 10:19 -9 14
L W L D L
18 13 3 4 6 13:18 -5 13
L L L W D
19 13 4 1 8 12:24 -12 13
W L L L L
20 12 3 1 8 16:26 -10 10
L L L W L
21 12 3 1 8 18:33 -15 10
L L L L L
22 12 2 2 8 14:30 -16 8
L L L D W
23 12 2 2 8 10:28 -18 8
L W W D D
24 13 1 1 11 13:34 -21 4
L L L D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation