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10.10.2026 14:00
Falkirk Stadium

Falkirk vs Dundee Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Falkirk Win 29.8%
Draw 20.5%
Dundee Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkirk1.17
Dundee1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkirk Falkirk
WWDLW
9 GF / 10 GA
Dundee Dundee
WLDWL
13 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
2.86
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkirk Falkirk 9 matches
Dundee Dundee 12 matches
Falkirk Statistic Dundee
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
9 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 17
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
2.86 Shots On Goal 3.71
10.71 Total Shots 11.29
4.71 Corners 4.43
46.7% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Dundee's more proactive style and Falkirk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dundee. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Falkirk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dundee in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundee having the stronger overall control. Dundee carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 10 points while Falkirk sit 11 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Falkirk Analysis

Falkirk are currently 11 in the standings with 6 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 6:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Owen Eames (1 goals), E. Ross (1 goals), J. Murrell (1 goals), with creative support from R. Strain (2 assists), Owen Eames (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dundee Analysis

Dundee arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 10 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Westley (3 goals), J. Randall (2 goals), B. Fink (2 goals), with creative support from J. Randall (2 assists), M. Merghem (2 assists), W. Ferry (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk won 6 times, Dundee won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Falkirk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
Predicted formations: Falkirk 4-2-3-1 / Dundee 4-4-2
H2H summary: Falkirk wins 6, draws 3, Dundee wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 14:4 10 18
L W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 8:4 4 16
W W W W W
3 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
D L W W W
4 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
5 7 3 1 3 8:9 -1 10
L L L W D
6 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D L W D L
7 7 2 2 3 7:8 -1 8
D W D L L
8 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W D L W L
9 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
L L L W D
10 7 2 1 4 8:11 -3 7
D L L L W
11 7 1 3 3 6:9 -3 6
D W D L L
12 7 1 2 4 6:15 -9 5
D W D L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)