JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
City Light Stadium
Referee: Masuya Ueda, Japan
Fagiano Okayama
Match Timeline
V-varen Nagasaki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
Dudu Giusti ↔ I. Arai
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
R. Yamasaki ↔ Thiago
V-varen Nagasaki
54'
Lucao · Assist: E. Miyamoto
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
H. Yamaguchi ↔ T. Matsumoto
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
65'
Lucao ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
65'
M. Sekiguchi ↔ S. Yoneda
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
74'
Yoneda Shunya
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
75'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ J. Nishikawa
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
76'
A. Esaka ↔ K. Ichimi
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
81'
Y. Iwasaki ↔ R. Kou
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
90'
K. Shirai ↔ I. Shu
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
90'
E. Miyamoto ↔ I. Fujita
Fagiano Okayama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66%
2.15
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.17
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.1%
1.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Fagiano Okayama Win 66%
Draw 12.6%
V-varen Nagasaki Win 21.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fagiano Okayama1
V-varen Nagasaki2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WWDLW
1 GF / 2 GA
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WLDWL
2 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1 matches
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 1 matches
Fagiano Okayama Statistic V-varen Nagasaki
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
1 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 4
17 Total Shots 16
8 Corners 7
50% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 6 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Fagiano Okayama's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1 / V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fagiano Okayama wins 6, draws 4, V-varen Nagasaki wins 5
Stats
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
15
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 4
43% Ball Possession 57%
22 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Goal 0
15 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 3
11 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
367 Total passes 522
269 Passes accurate 411
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama
Formation
V-varen Nagasaki
L. Moser
L. Moser
H. Omori
H. Omori
Y. Tatsuta
Y. Tatsuta
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
K. Shirai
K. Shirai
E. Miyamoto
🎯
E. Miyamoto
Oberdan
Oberdan
T. Yamane
T. Yamane
Na Sang-Ho
Na Sang-Ho
A. Esaka
A. Esaka
Lucao
Lucao
M. Goto
M. Goto
R. Shindo
R. Shindo
Dudu Giusti
Dudu Giusti
T. Ominami
T. Ominami
M. Sekiguchi
M. Sekiguchi
H. Yamaguchi
H. Yamaguchi
R. Yamada
R. Yamada
H. Onaga
H. Onaga
M. Hasegawa
M. Hasegawa
Y. Iwasaki
Y. Iwasaki
R. Yamasaki
R. Yamasaki
Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Moser
G
6
H. Omori
D
48
Y. Tatsuta
D
43
Y. Suzuki
D
51
K. Shirai
↓ 90'
M
41
E. Miyamoto
🎯 54' ↓ 90'
M
80
Oberdan
M
88
T. Yamane
M
10
Na Sang-Ho
↓ 75'
F
8
A. Esaka
↓ 76'
F
99
Lucao
⚽ 54' ↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
13
S. Matsuda
G
44
S. Mori
D
5
I. Shu
↑ 90'
D
24
I. Fujita
↑ 90'
M
33
Kamiya Yuta
M
66
J. Nishikawa
↑ 75'
M
22
K. Ichimi
↑ 76'
F
79
N. Browne
M
9
Leo Gaucho
↑ 65'
V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Goto
G
50
R. Shindo
D
4
Dudu Giusti
↓ 23'
D
25
T. Ominami
D
3
M. Sekiguchi
↓ 65'
M
5
H. Yamaguchi
↓ 64'
M
24
R. Yamada
M
22
H. Onaga
M
41
M. Hasegawa
F
8
Y. Iwasaki
↓ 81'
F
18
R. Yamasaki
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Hatano
G
45
N. Hyeung-jun
D
29
I. Arai
↑ 23'
D
21
Diego Pituca
M
23
S. Yoneda
↑ 65' 🟨 74'
D
34
T. Matsumoto
↑ 64'
M
9
Thiago
↑ 46'
F
19
T. Sawada
M
39
R. Kou
↑ 81'
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
08.08.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
FC Schalke 04
1
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Werder Bremen
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
FC Kharkiv
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
SC Paderborn 07
1
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
SV Wehen
0
2
L
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
17.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
05.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
L
21.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
18.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
09.08.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Utrecht
2
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
NEC Nijmegen
1
3
L
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
06.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
H2H: Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki
15.08.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
06.05.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
L
21.03.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
29.09.24
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
16.07.23
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
2
D
17.05.23
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
29.05.22
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
W
23.05.21
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
11.11.20
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
5
0
L
19.07.20
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
20.10.19
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
08.06.19
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
3
W
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
31.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
17.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
L
21.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
08.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
0
W
01.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Fagiano Okayama
15.08.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
21.03.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
29.09.24
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
16.07.23
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
2
D
17.09.22
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
23.05.21
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
19.07.20
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
20.10.19
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
17.07.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Utrecht
2
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
NEC Nijmegen
1
3
L
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
H2H away: V-varen Nagasaki
15.08.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
L
21.03.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
W
29.09.24
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
L
16.07.23
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
2
D
17.09.22
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
L
23.05.21
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
W
19.07.20
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
W
20.10.19
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.56
Draw 3.29
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.25
Draw 2.15
Home 2.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.46
Over 2.0 1.61
Over 2.25 1.89
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.52
Over 3.5 3.95
Under 1.5 3.16
Under 1.75 2.78
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.95
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.5 1.25
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.30
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.30
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.52
Draw 3.34
Home 2.16
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.15
Draw 1.99
Home 2.77
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.35
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.89
Over 2.5 2.16
Over 2.75 2.40
Over 3.0 3.05
Over 3.25 3.34
Over 3.5 3.74
Over 3.75 4.74
Over 4.0 6.85
Over 4.25 7.29
Over 4.5 7.70
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 0.75 7.70
Under 1.0 6.95
Under 1.25 3.94
Under 1.5 2.94
Under 1.75 2.59
Under 2.0 2.22
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.71
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.0 1.31
Under 3.25 1.24
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 3.15
Home 2.16
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.05
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.38
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.0 1.63
Over 2.25 1.90
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.55
Over 3.0 3.25
Over 3.25 3.60
Over 3.5 3.90
Over 3.75 4.90
Over 4.0 6.75
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.0 2.08
Under 2.25 1.76
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.0 1.28
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.06

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 9:1 8 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
D W
6 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
7 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
W L
9 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
12 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
13 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
14 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
16 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
L D
17 2 0 1 1 3:7 -4 1
D L
18 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 4:8 -4 0
L L
20 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League