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10.10.2026 20:00
Excursionistas Stadium

Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 68.1%
Draw 2.8%
Villa San Carlos Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.34
Villa San Carlos0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WWDLW
59 GF / 30 GA
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
WLDWL
37 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
16
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 38 matches
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 38 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Villa San Carlos
22 Wins 11
8 Draws 14
8 Losses 13
59 Goals For 37
30 Goals Against 39
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
16 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
16 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 18
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Excursionistas's more proactive style and Villa San Carlos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Villa San Carlos. Excursionistas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa San Carlos having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Excursionistas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 74 points compared to Villa San Carlos in 13 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 74 points after 37 outings. They have recorded 22 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a 59:29 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

So far, Villa San Carlos have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 44 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 36:39 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 4 times, Villa San Carlos won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Excursionistas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.2%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 4, draws 4, Villa San Carlos wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)