Login Register
NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
10.05.2026 14:45
Stadion Woudestein
Referee: D. Makkelie
Excelsior
Match Timeline
FC Volendam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
B. Pauwels · Assist: J. Bacuna
FC Volendam
⚽
38'
G. Yah
Excelsior
🟨
43'
Nick Verschuren
FC Volendam
🔄
61'
R. Muhren ↔ H. Veerman
FC Volendam
🔄
62'
R. Meissen ↔ I. Bronkhorst
Excelsior
🔄
62'
E. Hansson ↔ S. Wlodarczyk
Excelsior
🔄
68'
N. Naujoks ↔ A. Carlen
Excelsior
🔄
71'
B. Pauwels ↔ A. Oehlers
FC Volendam
🔄
71'
B. Ould-Chikh ↔ R. van Cruijsen
FC Volendam
🔄
72'
A. Descotte ↔ B. Kuwas
FC Volendam
🟨
75'
Adam Carlén
Excelsior
🟨
78'
Henk Veerman
FC Volendam
🟨
80'
Alex Plat
FC Volendam
🔄
80'
J. Bacuna ↔ A. Plat
FC Volendam

Excelsior vs FC Volendam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
78.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 48.6%
Draw 30.2%
FC Volendam Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior1.38
FC Volendam1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior Excelsior
WWDLW
39 GF / 53 GA
FC Volendam FC Volendam
WLDWL
33 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
20
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
19
4.34
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excelsior Excelsior 32 matches
FC Volendam FC Volendam 32 matches
Excelsior Statistic FC Volendam
9 Wins 8
7 Draws 7
16 Losses 17
39 Goals For 33
53 Goals Against 52
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
20 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 12
4.34 Shots On Goal 3.72
12.5 Total Shots 10.91
4.13 Corners 3.75
47% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Excelsior expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Volendam in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Volendam having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. FC Volendam arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Volendam.

Excelsior Analysis

Excelsior sit 14 with 34 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 39:53 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Noah Naujoks (9 goals), D. Sanches Fernandes (6 goals), I. Yegoian (5 goals), with creative support from G. de Regt (6 assists), D. Sanches Fernandes (3 assists), R. Meissen (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Volendam Analysis

With 31 points from 32 games and a place of 16, FC Volendam still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 33:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Muhren (6 goals), B. Kuwas (5 goals), A. Oehlers (4 goals), with creative support from B. Kuwas (4 assists), D. Kwakman (4 assists), R. van Cruijsen (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 6 times, FC Volendam won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:17 from Excelsior's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (78.8%)
Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / FC Volendam 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Excelsior 3, FC Volendam 4
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 6, draws 3, FC Volendam wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie