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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
17.05.2026 14:00
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Referee: J. Brooks
Everton
Match Timeline
Sunderland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
O. Alderete ↔ L. O'Nien
Sunderland
🟨
25'
Tim Iroegbunam
Everton
⚽
43'
M. Rohl · Assist: M. Keane
Everton
🟨
47'
Jake O'Brien
Everton
⚽
59'
B. Brobbey · Assist: E. Le Fee
Sunderland
🔄
60'
T. Hume ↔ C. Talbi
Sunderland
🔄
73'
T. Iroegbunam ↔ T. George
Everton
🔄
73'
Beto ↔ T. Barry
Everton
🔄
77'
N. Angulo ↔ C. Rigg
Sunderland
🔄
77'
N. Sadiki ↔ H. Diarra
Sunderland
🔄
77'
B. Brobbey ↔ W. Isidor
Sunderland
⚽
81'
E. Le Fee · Assist: C. Rigg
Sunderland
🔄
88'
J. O'Brien ↔ S. Coleman
Everton
🔄
88'
M. Rohl ↔ D. McNeil
Everton
🟨
90+6'
James Garner
Everton
⚽
90'
W. Isidor · Assist: H. Diarra
Sunderland

Everton vs Sunderland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Everton Win 45.2%
Draw 19.1%
Sunderland Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton1.25
Sunderland1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton Everton
WWDLW
47 GF / 47 GA
Sunderland Sunderland
WLDWL
39 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
19
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
15
3.78
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton Everton 37 matches
Sunderland Sunderland 39 matches
Everton Statistic Sunderland
13 Wins 13
11 Draws 13
13 Losses 13
47 Goals For 39
47 Goals Against 48
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
19 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 14
3.78 Shots On Goal 3.64
11.24 Total Shots 10.77
4.27 Corners 3.87
43.4% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sunderland. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Everton Analysis

From their first 36 matches, Everton have collected 49 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 46:46 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Beto (9 goals), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (8 goals), Thierno Barry (8 goals), with creative support from J. Garner (7 assists), J. Grealish (6 assists), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sunderland Analysis

So far, Sunderland have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 48 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 37:46 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Brobbey (6 goals), W. Isidor (5 goals), C. Talbi (4 goals), with creative support from Granit Xhaka (6 assists), E. Le Fee (5 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton won 7 times, Sunderland won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Everton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Everton 4-2-3-1 / Sunderland 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Everton 3, Sunderland 3
H2H summary: Everton wins 7, draws 3, Sunderland wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship