WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
Referee: R. Claus
Estudiantes L.P.
Match Timeline
U. Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
J. Burgos
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
9'
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
🔄
61'
Perez Fabricio ↔ J. Correa
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
64'
E. Mena ↔ D. Corral
U. Catolica
🔄
67'
T. Palacios ↔ B. Rodriguez
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
67'
A. Castro ↔ Gabriel Neves
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
74'
B. Rodriguez
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
78'
C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
80'
F. Zampedri · Assist: J. Giani
U. Catolica
🔄
85'
J. Burgos ↔ B. Aguirre
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
85'
B. Cerezo ↔ A. Farias
U. Catolica
🔄
85'
J. Valencia ↔ G. Medel
U. Catolica
🟨
90'
T. Palacios
Estudiantes L.P.

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes L.P. Win 45.1%
Draw 12.8%
U. Catolica Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes L.P.1.25
U. Catolica1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WWDLW
35 GF / 18 GA
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WLDWL
62 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
2.07
0.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
8
BTTS Yes
18
8
Over 2.5
22
4.85
Shots on Goal
4.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 29 matches
U. Catolica U. Catolica 30 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Statistic U. Catolica
14 Wins 18
7 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
35 Goals For 62
18 Goals Against 39
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
0.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
8 BTTS Yes 18
16 Over 1.5 26
8 Over 2.5 22
2 Over 3.5 11
13 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 5
4.85 Shots On Goal 4.92
13.52 Total Shots 13.46
4.19 Corners 5.25
52.2% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. U. Catolica look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring U. Catolica. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. U. Catolica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Estudiantes L.P. sit 2 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Estudiantes L.P. arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 9 points after 6 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 6:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on T. Palacios (3 goals), F. Farias (1 goals), G. Carrillo (1 goals), with creative support from M. Amondarain (2 assists), Alexis Castro (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 6 matches, placing them 1 in their league. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:4 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by F. Zampedri (3 goals), C. Montes (2 goals), J. A. Martinez (1 goals), with creative support from C. Montes (2 assists), J. Giani (1 assists), E. Mena (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 1 times, U. Catolica won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1 / U. Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes L.P. wins 1, draws 1, U. Catolica wins 0
Stats
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica U. Catolica
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
12 Corner Kicks 1
15 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 1
5 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
324 Total passes 323
251 Passes accurate 233
1.48 expected_goals 0.10
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P.
Formation
U. Catolica
Fernando Muslera
Fernando Muslera
Eric Meza
Eric Meza
Santiago Núñez
Santiago Núñez
Tomás Palacios
Tomás Palacios
Gastón Benedetti
Gastón Benedetti
Ezequiel Piovi
Ezequiel Piovi
Alexis Castro
Alexis Castro
Fabricio Pérez
Fabricio Pérez
Tiago Palacios
Tiago Palacios
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Guido Carrillo
Guido Carrillo
Vicente Bernedo
Vicente Bernedo
Bernardo Cerezo
Bernardo Cerezo
Daniel González
Daniel González
Branco Ampuero
Branco Ampuero
Eugenio Mena
Eugenio Mena
Fernando Zuqui
Fernando Zuqui
Jhojan Valencia
Jhojan Valencia
Justo Giani
🎯
Justo Giani
Jimmy Martínez
Jimmy Martínez
Cristián Cuevas
Cristián Cuevas
Fernando Zampedri
Fernando Zampedri
Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
Fernando Muslera
G
20
Eric Meza
D
4
Santiago Núñez
D
24
Tomás Palacios
🟨 90'
D
13
Gastón Benedetti
D
21
Ezequiel Piovi
M
22
Alexis Castro
↓ 67'
M
29
Fabricio Pérez
↓ 61'
M
10
Tiago Palacios
↓ 67'
M
17
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
⚽ 4' ↓ 85'
M
9
Guido Carrillo
F
Substitutes
32
Joaquín Correa
↑ 61'
F
8
Gabriel Neves
↑ 67'
M
31
Baltasar Rodriguez
↑ 67' 🟨 74'
M
28
Brian Aguirre
↑ 85'
F
1
Fabricio Iacovich
G
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
40
Eros Mancuso
D
35
Valente Pierani
D
11
Facundo Farías
M
7
José Sosa
M
18
Edwuin Cetré
F
19
Adolfo Gaich
F
U. Catolica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Vicente Bernedo
G
28
Bernardo Cerezo
↓ 85'
D
2
Daniel González
D
19
Branco Ampuero
D
3
Eugenio Mena
↓ 64'
D
8
Fernando Zuqui
M
20
Jhojan Valencia
↓ 85'
M
7
Justo Giani
🎯 80'
M
14
Jimmy Martínez
M
15
Cristián Cuevas
🟨 78'
M
9
Fernando Zampedri
⚽ 80' 🟨 9'
F
Substitutes
25
Diego Corral
↑ 64'
F
17
Gary Medel
↑ 85'
D
5
Agustín Farías
↑ 85'
M
12
Francisco Valdés
G
27
Darío Melo
G
39
Nicolás L'Huiller
D
34
Francisco Daza
D
42
Nickolas Pino
F
22
Martín Gómez
M
13
Alfred Canales
M
10
Matías Palavecino
M
43
Amaro Pérez
F
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
19.08.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
3
0
W
15.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
4
0
W
08.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
05.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
01.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
3
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
0
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
23.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
5
0
W
Last matches: U. Catolica
23.08.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Nublense
1
2
L
19.08.26
CON
U. Catolica
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Concepción
0
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
3
3
D
11.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
0
4
L
05.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Deportes Copiapo
2
1
W
01.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
28.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
4
2
W
24.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
3
1
W
20.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Concepcion
5
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Huachipato
3
0
W
29.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Colo Colo
1
2
L
22.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Deportes Limache
2
0
W
07.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
30.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
H2H: Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica
19.08.26
H2H
U. Catolica
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
W
12.08.26
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
1
1
D
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
15.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
4
0
W
01.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
3
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
0
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
14.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
5
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
0
1
L
02.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
20.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
1
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
29.01.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
20.01.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Ituzaingó
4
0
W
H2H at home: Estudiantes L.P.
12.08.26
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
1
1
D
Last matches: U. Catolica
02.08.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Concepción
0
3
L
11.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
0
4
L
24.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
3
1
W
20.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Huachipato
3
0
W
29.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Deportes Limache
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
15.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
O'Higgins
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Nublense
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
2
2
D
11.05.25
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
1
2
L
10.02.25
Cop
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
2
2
D
01.02.25
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
1
2
L
23.06.24
Cop
U. Catolica
Santiago Wanderers
0
1
L
20.06.24
Cop
U. Catolica
Glorias Navales
2
0
W
H2H away: U. Catolica
12.08.26
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
1
1
D

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
W L D D W
3 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W W L D
4 6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1
L L D L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals