ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes L.P. Win 65.9%
Draw 3.8%
Newells Old Boys Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes L.P.1.39
Newells Old Boys0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WWDLW
43 GF / 21 GA
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
WLDWL
23 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
9
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 33 matches
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 23 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Statistic Newells Old Boys
16 Wins 6
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 10
43 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 35
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
9 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
15 Clean Sheets 4
12 Failed To Score 8
5 Shots On Goal 3.14
14.07 Total Shots 9.32
4.57 Corners 3.77
53.8% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Estudiantes L.P.'s more proactive style and Newells Old Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Newells Old Boys. Estudiantes L.P. have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Estudiantes L.P. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Newells Old Boys in 14 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 1 with 31 points from 16 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 19:7, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Adolfo Gaich (3 goals), Alexis Castro (2 goals), Guido Carrillo (1 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (3 assists), Guido Carrillo (1 assists), Mikel Amondarain (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Newells Old Boys Analysis

With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Newells Old Boys still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Juan Ignacio Ramírez (3 goals), Matías Cóccaro (2 goals), Jeronimo Russo (1 goals), with creative support from Jeronimo Russo (2 assists), Walter Mazzantti (1 assists), Facundo Guch (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 7 times, Newells Old Boys won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1 / Newells Old Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes L.P. wins 7, draws 4, Newells Old Boys wins 4
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
23.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
0
2
L
19.08.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
3
0
W
15.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
4
0
W
12.08.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
1
1
D
08.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
05.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
01.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
3
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
0
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
Last matches: Newells Old Boys
23.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
2
1
W
15.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
09.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
31.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
0
1
L
25.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
3
2
W
12.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
1
W
29.03.26
Cop
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
0
5
L
11.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Platense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
0
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
3
L
16.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
2
3
L
H2H: Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys
25.02.26
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
W
30.09.25
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
15.03.25
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
02.08.24
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
1
4
W
19.02.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
24.09.23
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
W
31.03.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
3
0
W
25.06.22
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
0
2
L
30.07.21
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
4
2
L
12.12.20
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
L
08.02.20
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
24.10.18
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
04.02.18
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
4
2
W
15.04.17
H2H
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
29.09.15
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
0
2
L
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
15.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
4
0
W
12.08.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
1
1
D
01.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
3
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
0
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
14.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
5
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
0
1
L
02.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
20.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
1
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
29.01.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
20.01.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Ituzaingó
4
0
W
H2H at home: Estudiantes L.P.
15.03.25
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
19.02.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
31.03.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
3
0
W
25.06.22
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
0
2
L
24.10.18
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
04.02.18
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
4
2
W
29.09.15
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
0
2
L
Last matches: Newells Old Boys
09.08.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
31.07.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
3
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
0
5
L
21.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
0
3
L
16.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
0
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
H2H away: Newells Old Boys
15.03.25
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
19.02.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
2
0
L
31.03.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
3
0
L
25.06.22
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
0
2
W
24.10.18
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
1
0
L
04.02.18
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
4
2
L
29.09.15
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
0
2
W

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L W L L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D D D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D D D W W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L W L L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L L W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
L W L L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
W L L W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W D W L W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W W L W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
W D W L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L W W L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W W L D L
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L W L L
Knockout Phase