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05.10.2026 00:30
Antonio Candini
Referee: Felipe Viola
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Match Timeline
Racing Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
Tomás Conechny · Assist: Diego Ulises·Ortegoza
Racing Club
🟨
23'
Lautaro Diaz
Racing Club
⚽
38'
Adrián Martínez
Racing Club
🔄
45'
Gonzalo González ↔ Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🟨
67'
Matias Valenti
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
68'
Ibrahim Hesar ↔ Mauro Valiente
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
69'
Martín Garnerone ↔ Joaquín Román Rivero
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
75'
Mateo Ezequiel Martínez ↔ Matías Pérez
Racing Club
🔄
76'
Diego Ulises·Ortegoza ↔ Adrián Fernández
Racing Club
🟨
78'
Alejandro Martín Cabrera
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
83'
Lautaro Diaz ↔ Matko Miljevic
Racing Club
⚽
88'
Mauro Valiente · Assist: Gabriel Alanis
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
90+3'
Tomás Conechny ↔ Alejandro Joaquín Tello
Racing Club
🟨
90+5'
Alejandro Joaquín Tello
Racing Club

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.4%
1.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.68 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.8%
1.50 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win 41.9%
Draw 8.7%
Racing Club Win 49.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.69
Racing Club1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
WWDLW
10 GF / 37 GA
Racing Club Racing Club
WLDWL
38 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.37
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
7
BTTS Yes
19
8
Over 2.5
16
2.38
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 27 matches
Racing Club Racing Club 32 matches
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Statistic Racing Club
2 Wins 11
6 Draws 8
19 Losses 13
10 Goals For 38
37 Goals Against 37
0.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
7 BTTS Yes 19
16 Over 1.5 23
8 Over 2.5 16
1 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 10
18 Failed To Score 7
2.38 Shots On Goal 3.79
10.54 Total Shots 12.86
4.31 Corners 4.36
45% Ball Possession 56.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Racing Club's more proactive style and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Racing Club. Racing Club carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 21 points while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Racing Club in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Club having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Analysis

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15 with 5 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 5:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Sergio Ojeda (1 goals), G. Alanís (1 goals), with creative support from M. Valenti (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Racing Club Analysis

Racing Club approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 21 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Matías Zaracho (3 goals), Matko Miljevic (2 goals), Santiago Solari (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Solari (2 assists), Matías Zaracho (1 assists), Matko Miljevic (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0 times, Racing Club won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3-1-4-2 / Racing Club 5-3-2
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins 0, draws 0, Racing Club wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D W W L W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L D D W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
D W W D L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D D W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W W D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W W L L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W L D D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D D L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L L L W D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L W L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L D
Knockout Phase