Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
97.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.9%
|
- |
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Monagas SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estudiantes de Merida FC
11 matches
Monagas SC
11 matches
| Estudiantes de Merida FC | Statistic | Monagas SC |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 18 | Goals For | 11 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Estudiantes de Merida FC's more proactive style and Monagas SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Monagas SC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. Estudiantes de Merida FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 17 points compared to Monagas SC in 12 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Estudiantes de Merida FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 17 points after 11 matches. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 18:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Quejada (10 goals), A. Montero (2 goals), C. Magallan (1 goals), with creative support from C. Magallan (3 assists), H. Acosta (2 assists), R. Ivey (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Monagas SC sit 12 with 10 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, while the 11:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Rodriguez (5 goals), E. Farias (2 goals), M. Renteria (2 goals), with creative support from J. Caraballo (2 assists), R. Rodriguez (1 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 5 times, Monagas SC won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Estudiantes de Merida FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.23 goals per game.
Lineups
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Trujillanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Portuguesa FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
UCV
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Puerto Cabello
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Academia Anzoátegui
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Rayo Zuliano
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
Puerto Cabello
Monagas SC
Rayo Zuliano
Monagas SC
Zamora FC
Monagas SC
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SC
Academia Anzoátegui
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
Monagas SC
UCV
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Portuguesa FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Rayo Zuliano
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
Zamora FC
Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
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| 2 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 25 |
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| 3 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 24 |
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| 4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
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| 5 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
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| 6 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 20 |
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| 7 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 19 |
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| 8 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
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| 9 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
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| 10 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
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| 11 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
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| 12 |
Monagas SC
Away
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
?
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| 13 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 |
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| 14 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9:26 | -17 | 4 |
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