Estrela
Match Timeline
FC Porto
Estrela vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
68.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.9%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 29%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela0.89
FC Porto1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela
WWDLW
33 GF / 49 GA
FC Porto
WLDWL
79 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
13
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
22
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estrela
30 matches
FC Porto
42 matches
| Estrela | Statistic | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 32 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 3 |
| 33 | Goals For | 79 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.57 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 22 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 5.29 |
| 11.27 | Total Shots | 14.38 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 1 times, FC Porto won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:13 from Estrela's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Estrela wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 5
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
Away
|
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Estrela
Home
|
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2