Estrela
Match Timeline
Famalicao
Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.4%
|
2.98 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.28 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.1%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 64.4%
Draw 4.8%
Famalicao Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.32
Famalicao1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela
WWDLW
19 GF / 12 GA
Famalicao
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.44
7
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
4.67
Shots on Goal
2.75
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estrela
10 matches
Famalicao
9 matches
| Estrela | Statistic | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 19 | Goals For | 9 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.44 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 2.75 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 2.67 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 49% | Ball Possession | 60.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 2 times, Famalicao won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Estrela's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / Famalicao 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 2, draws 3, Famalicao wins 1
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Estrela
Home
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Famalicao
Away
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2