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06.10.2026 18:45
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: David Dickinson
Estonia
Match Timeline
Iceland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Daniel Leo Gretarsson
Iceland
🔄
61'
Joseph Saliste ↔ Michael Schjonning-Larsen
Estonia
🔄
61'
Mattias Männilaan ↔ karel mustmaa
Estonia
🔄
61'
Kevor Palumets ↔ Mattias Käit
Estonia
🔄
67'
Hörður Magnússon ↔ Logi Tomasson
Iceland
🔄
67'
Gylfi Sigurðsson ↔ Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
Iceland
🔄
68'
Patrik Kristal ↔ Maximilian skvortsov
Estonia
🟨
84'
Michael Schjonning-Larsen
Estonia

Estonia vs Iceland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 63.7%
Odds 4.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
63.7%
4.00 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.14 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
19.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Estonia Win 15.1%
Draw 63.7%
Iceland Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estonia1
Iceland0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estonia Estonia
WWDLW
2 GF / 1 GA
Iceland Iceland
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
5
5.33
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estonia Estonia 3 matches
Iceland Iceland 8 matches
Estonia Statistic Iceland
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 3
2 Goals For 10
1 Goals Against 12
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 7
0 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
5.33 Shots On Goal 3.25
9.33 Total Shots 8
5.33 Corners 3
42.7% Ball Possession 40.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Estonia won 0 times, Iceland won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Estonia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Estonia 3-5-2 / Iceland 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estonia wins 0, draws 1, Iceland wins 0

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:1 6 8
D W W D
2 4 1 3 0 2:1 1 6
D W D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L D L
4 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
L L L W
Promotion
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