Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.9%
|
- |
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estac Troyes
35 matches
Boulogne
31 matches
| Estac Troyes | Statistic | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 64 | Goals For | 32 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5.03 | Shots On Goal | 3.43 |
| 13.29 | Total Shots | 10.4 |
| 4.35 | Corners | 4.03 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 44.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Estac Troyes's more proactive style and Boulogne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Estac Troyes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 58 points compared to Boulogne in 12 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Boulogne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Estac Troyes approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 58 points after 30 outings. The return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 51:30, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Bentayeb (16 goals), M. Adeline (9 goals), Renaud Ripart (5 goals), with creative support from M. Adeline (8 assists), Mathys Detourbet (5 assists), T. Bentayeb (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Boulogne are currently 12 in the standings with 36 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 30:38 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Fatou (6 goals), Amine El Farissi (4 goals), N. Fatar (3 goals), with creative support from Amine El Farissi (3 assists), A. Platret (3 assists), C. Fatou (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Estac Troyes won 3 times, Boulogne won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Estac Troyes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.
Estac Troyes
5
1
3
2
3
2
Lineups
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
Estac Troyes
Laval
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
Rodez
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Annecy
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
Amiens
Estac Troyes
PAU
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Nancy
Estac Troyes
Lens
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
Guingamp
Estac Troyes
Reims
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Estac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
Estac Troyes
Olympique Marcquois
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
Boulogne
Laval
Boulogne
Annecy
Boulogne
Dunkerque
Boulogne
Le Mans
Boulogne
Reims
Boulogne
Nancy
Boulogne
Bastia
Boulogne
Amiens
Boulogne
Grenoble
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
PAU
Boulogne
Rodez
Boulogne
Saint Etienne
Boulogne
RED Star FC 93
Boulogne
Montpellier
Boulogne
Guingamp
Boulogne
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Grenoble
Boulogne
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Laval
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
PAU
Estac Troyes
Lens
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
Reims
Estac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
Estac Troyes
Rodez
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
Amiens
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Annecy
Estac Troyes
Guingamp
Estac Troyes
Nancy
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
Estac Troyes
Lens
Boulogne
Laval
Boulogne
Reims
Boulogne
Bastia
Boulogne
Grenoble
Boulogne
PAU
Boulogne
Saint Etienne
Boulogne
RED Star FC 93
Boulogne
Guingamp
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Dunkerque
Boulogne
Annecy
Boulogne
Le Mans
Boulogne
Amiens
Boulogne
Montpellier
Boulogne
Rodez
Boulogne
Nancy
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Estac Troyes
Home
|
34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 67 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 19 | 62 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 21 | 60 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 58 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 6 | 58 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | -14 | 45 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 8 | 43 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Boulogne
Away
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | -15 | 36 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | -28 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|