Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.1%
|
1.50 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.26 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
67.8%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
Erzurumspor FK
Samsunspor
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Erzurumspor FK
7 matches
Samsunspor
10 matches
| Erzurumspor FK | Statistic | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 5 | Goals For | 11 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.8 | Shots On Goal | 2.8 |
| 9.2 | Total Shots | 14.2 |
| 3.2 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 43.4% | Ball Possession | 56.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Samsunspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Erzurumspor FK expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Samsunspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Samsunspor having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Erzurumspor FK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 4 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 2:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Tozlu (2 goals), with creative support from G. Giorbelidze (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 14, Samsunspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:11 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Emre Kılınç (1 goals), Josafat Mendes (1 goals), Fatih Kaya (1 goals), with creative support from Saikuba Jarju (2 assists), Emre Kılınç (1 assists), Josafat Mendes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Erzurumspor FK won 0 times, Samsunspor won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Erzurumspor FK's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 10 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 |
Erzurumspor FK
Home
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Samsunspor
Away
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | -14 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
L
|