Login Register
COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
15.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Polideportivo Sur

Envigado vs Real Santander Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Envigado Win 79.8%
Draw 9.7%
Real Santander Win 10.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado1.45
Real Santander0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Envigado Envigado
WWDLW
48 GF / 32 GA
Real Santander Real Santander
WLDWL
22 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
18
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Envigado Envigado 35 matches
Real Santander Real Santander 26 matches
Envigado Statistic Real Santander
16 Wins 3
11 Draws 10
8 Losses 13
48 Goals For 22
32 Goals Against 41
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
18 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
15 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Envigado's more proactive style and Real Santander's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Santander. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Santander having the stronger overall control. Envigado arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 49 points compared to Real Santander in 16 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Envigado have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado sit 4 with 49 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 39:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Real Santander Analysis

Real Santander sit 16 with 17 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats with a 20:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Envigado won 1 times, Real Santander won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Envigado's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
H2H summary: Envigado wins 1, draws 0, Real Santander wins 0

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)