AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL 2
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Eltham Redbacks FC Win 37.7%
Draw 13.8%
Melbourne Knights Win 48.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eltham Redbacks FC1.7
Melbourne Knights1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eltham Redbacks FC Eltham Redbacks FC
WWDLW
56 GF / 39 GA
Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights
WLDWL
47 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
17
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eltham Redbacks FC Eltham Redbacks FC 25 matches
Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 25 matches
Eltham Redbacks FC Statistic Melbourne Knights
11 Wins 16
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 6
56 Goals For 47
39 Goals Against 22
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
17 BTTS Yes 11
24 Over 1.5 20
18 Over 2.5 12
13 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Melbourne Knights. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Melbourne Knights having the stronger overall control. Melbourne Knights look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Melbourne Knights carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 51 points while Eltham Redbacks FC sit 6 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Eltham Redbacks FC Analysis

Eltham Redbacks FC sit 6 with 38 points after 25 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 56:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Melbourne Knights Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 51 points from 24 games, Melbourne Knights bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 47:20, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Eltham Redbacks FC won 0 times, Melbourne Knights won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Eltham Redbacks FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: Eltham Redbacks FC wins 0, draws 0, Melbourne Knights wins 1
Last matches: Eltham Redbacks FC
22.08.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Port Melbourne
2
0
W
14.08.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Manningham United Blues
5
0
W
31.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Northcote City
0
1
L
24.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Srbija
0
2
L
18.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Sunshine Eagles
1
1
D
11.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Geelong Warriors
3
1
W
04.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Langwarrin
6
1
W
19.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Western United II
3
4
L
12.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick City
1
3
L
05.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Bulleen Lions
2
2
D
30.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
2
L
22.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Victory II
3
3
D
15.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Knights
0
4
L
08.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Port Melbourne
8
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Manningham United Blues
1
2
L
24.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Northcote City
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Srbija
2
1
W
11.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Sunshine Eagles
3
2
W
28.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Geelong Warriors
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Langwarrin
2
1
W
Last matches: Melbourne Knights
23.08.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Langwarrin
0
2
L
15.08.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Port Melbourne
1
1
D
31.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Western United II
4
2
W
25.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Manningham United Blues
5
1
W
17.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Brunswick City
2
0
W
10.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Northcote City
1
0
W
03.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Bulleen Lions
3
1
W
20.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Melbourne Srbija
0
2
L
12.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Brunswick Juventus FC
0
1
L
06.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
North Sunshine Eagles
1
1
D
01.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Melbourne Victory II
2
1
W
24.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
North Geelong Warriors
2
1
W
15.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Eltham Redbacks FC
4
0
W
09.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Langwarrin
4
1
W
01.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Port Melbourne
2
0
W
26.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Western United II
2
3
L
17.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Manningham United Blues
0
0
D
13.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Brunswick City
3
0
W
27.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Northcote City
3
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Bulleen Lions
0
2
L
H2H: Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Knights
15.05.26
H2H
Melbourne Knights
Eltham Redbacks FC
4
0
L
Last matches: Eltham Redbacks FC
14.08.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Manningham United Blues
5
0
W
24.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Srbija
0
2
L
11.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Geelong Warriors
3
1
W
19.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Western United II
3
4
L
05.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Bulleen Lions
2
2
D
22.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Victory II
3
3
D
08.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Port Melbourne
8
0
W
24.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Northcote City
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Sunshine Eagles
3
2
W
20.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Langwarrin
2
1
W
06.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick City
2
2
D
20.02.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick Juventus FC
2
0
W
Last matches: Melbourne Knights
15.08.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Port Melbourne
1
1
D
25.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Manningham United Blues
5
1
W
10.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Northcote City
1
0
W
20.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Melbourne Srbija
0
2
L
06.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
North Sunshine Eagles
1
1
D
01.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Melbourne Victory II
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Langwarrin
4
1
W
26.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Western United II
2
3
L
13.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Brunswick City
3
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Bulleen Lions
0
2
L
06.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
0
W
14.02.26
Vic
Melbourne Knights
North Geelong Warriors
0
1
L
16.08.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Dandenong City
1
7
L
26.07.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Dandenong Thunder
0
4
L
18.07.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Preston Lions
0
3
L
06.07.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
St. Albans Saints
2
4
L
30.06.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Melbourne Victory II
2
1
W
13.06.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Port Melbourne
2
2
D
31.05.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Avondale
1
5
L
16.05.25
Vic
Melbourne Knights
Heidelberg United
1
2
L

Standings

Victoria NPL 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 3 6 47:22 25 51
L D W W W
2 25 16 2 7 47:32 15 50
W D D W W
3 25 15 4 6 43:26 17 49
L W W W D
4 25 13 6 6 47:31 16 45
W W W W W
5 25 13 4 8 55:36 19 43
W L W W W
6 25 11 5 9 56:39 17 38
W W L L D
7 25 11 3 11 28:26 2 36
L D W L W
8 25 10 3 12 49:49 0 33
L W W W L
9 25 10 1 14 36:51 -15 31
L L L L L
10 25 9 3 13 38:55 -17 30
L L L L D
11 25 8 5 12 45:53 -8 29
W L L L D
12 25 8 1 16 46:69 -23 25
L L L L W
13 25 6 5 14 32:40 -8 23
W L D L D
14 25 4 5 16 14:54 -40 17
L D W L W