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18.04.2026 18:00
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee: S. Mounir
El Mokawloon
Match Timeline
El Geish
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Khaled Awad
El Geish
🟨
29'
Mohamed Salem
El Mokawloon
⚽
44'
M. Hamed · Assist: Kahraba
El Mokawloon
🟨
51'
Ahmed Nader Hawash
El Mokawloon
🟨
53'
Mohamed Hany
El Geish
🔄
57'
M. Salim ↔ M. Gamal
El Mokawloon
🔄
59'
M. Hany ↔ M. Atef
El Geish
🔄
59'
A. Zola ↔ A. Tarek
El Geish
🔄
67'
S. Naguib ↔ M. Abdelnasser
El Mokawloon
🔄
67'
A. Hawash ↔ A. Ouled Behi
El Mokawloon
🔄
67'
I. Ouro-Agoro ↔ F. Hatem
El Geish
VAR
76'
Mohamed Abdelnasser
El Mokawloon
🟨
77'
Mohamed Camacho
El Geish
⚽
78'
M. Gamal
El Mokawloon
🟨
81'
Mostafa Gamal
El Mokawloon
🔄
82'
I. Mohareb ↔ G. Al Madadha
El Geish
🔄
82'
A. Keita ↔ Khaled Ramadan
El Geish
🔄
86'
O. El Wahsh ↔ M. Antar
El Mokawloon
🔄
86'
J. Ojera ↔ C. Ekpenyong
El Mokawloon
🟨
90'
Ahmed Tarek
El Geish

El Mokawloon vs El Geish Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
El Mokawloon Win 30.3%
Draw 21.6%
El Geish Win 48.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Mokawloon0.84
El Geish0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WWDLW
17 GF / 25 GA
El Geish El Geish
WLDWL
17 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
12
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
2.63
Shots on Goal
3.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 24 matches
El Geish El Geish 24 matches
El Mokawloon Statistic El Geish
4 Wins 7
11 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
17 Goals For 17
25 Goals Against 25
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
12 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 12
2.63 Shots On Goal 3.04
9.58 Total Shots 11.29
4.58 Corners 4.83
42% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by El Mokawloon's more proactive style and El Geish's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors El Geish. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. El Geish carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 29 points while El Mokawloon sit 17 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Mokawloon expected to line up in 4-3-3 and El Geish in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward El Geish having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

El Mokawloon Analysis

With 23 points from 4 games and a place of 17, El Mokawloon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, and the 3:2 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Naguib (5 goals), Mohamed Salem (4 goals), Joackiam Ojera (3 goals), with creative support from Joseph Ochaya (2 assists), Kahraba (2 assists), S. Naguib (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

El Geish Analysis

So far, El Geish have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 29 points from 4 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 1:1 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Ouro-Agoro (4 goals), Amro Tarek (3 goals), I. Mohareb (2 goals), with creative support from I. Ouro-Agoro (3 assists), I. Mohareb (1 assists), G. Al Madadha (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon won 5 times, El Geish won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from El Mokawloon's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
Predicted formations: El Mokawloon 4-3-3 / El Geish 4-4-2
H2H summary: El Mokawloon wins 5, draws 5, El Geish wins 5

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)