UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
Referee: O. Afanasyev
Dynamo Kyiv
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
M. Ponomarenko
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
27'
Marlon ↔ V. Tobias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
32'
Vinícius Tobias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
34'
Mykola Matvienko
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
46'
Y. Nazaryna ↔ D. Kryskiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
46'
Newerton ↔ P. Obah
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
47'
Kristian Bilovar
Dynamo Kyiv
50'
Lucas Ferreira · Assist: L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
63'
A. Bondarenko ↔ O. Ocheretko
Shakhtar Donetsk
68'
L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
70'
A. Yarmolenko ↔ S. Ogundana
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
70'
V. Buyalskyy ↔ O. Yatsyk
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
76'
M. Mykhaylenko ↔ O. Pikhalyonok
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
76'
I. Azarovi ↔ P. Henrique
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
84'
M. Shaparenko ↔ E. Guerrero
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
84'
B. Redushko ↔ V. Dubinchak
Dynamo Kyiv
🟨
90'
Matvii Ponomarenko
Dynamo Kyiv

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Kyiv Win 42.8%
Draw 8.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo Kyiv1.52
Shakhtar Donetsk1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
WWDLW
75 GF / 46 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WLDWL
94 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2.03
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
18
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
25
3.23
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 37 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 44 matches
Dynamo Kyiv Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
19 Wins 28
5 Draws 12
13 Losses 4
75 Goals For 94
46 Goals Against 33
2.03 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
18 BTTS Yes 19
30 Over 1.5 32
24 Over 2.5 25
14 Over 3.5 17
11 Clean Sheets 25
8 Failed To Score 6
3.23 Shots On Goal 3.9
8.8 Total Shots 10.2
3.91 Corners 3.9
34.9% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dynamo Kyiv expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control.

Dynamo Kyiv Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 47 points from 25 games, Dynamo Kyiv bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 14 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 58:31, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Ponomarenko (11 goals), A. Yarmolenko (7 goals), V. Buyalskyy (6 goals), with creative support from O. Pikhalyonok (9 assists), V. Buyalskyy (6 assists), N. Voloshyn (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 60 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 18 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 59:16 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), Pedrinho (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Kyiv won 2 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:22 from Dynamo Kyiv's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo Kyiv 4-3-3 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Dynamo Kyiv wins 2, draws 5, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 7

Lineups

Dynamo Kyiv
Formation
Shakhtar Donetsk
R. Neshcheret
R. Neshcheret
O. Karavaev
O. Karavaev
K. Bilovar
K. Bilovar
T. Mykhavko
T. Mykhavko
K. Vivcharenko
K. Vivcharenko
V. Buyalskyy
V. Buyalskyy
M. Mykhaylenko
M. Mykhaylenko
M. Shaparenko
M. Shaparenko
A. Yarmolenko
A. Yarmolenko
M. Ponomarenko
M. Ponomarenko
B. Redushko
B. Redushko
D. Riznyk
D. Riznyk
A. Ghram
A. Ghram
Marlon
Marlon
M. Matviienko
M. Matviienko
I. Azarovi
I. Azarovi
A. Bondarenko
A. Bondarenko
Y. Nazaryna
Y. Nazaryna
Isaque Silva
Isaque Silva
Lucas Ferreira
Lucas Ferreira
L. Traore
🎯
L. Traore
Newerton
Newerton
Dynamo Kyiv 4-3-3
Starting XI
35
R. Neshcheret
G
20
O. Karavaev
D
40
K. Bilovar
🟨 47'
D
32
T. Mykhavko
D
2
K. Vivcharenko
D
29
V. Buyalskyy
↓ 70'
M
91
M. Mykhaylenko
↓ 76'
M
10
M. Shaparenko
↓ 84'
M
7
A. Yarmolenko
↓ 70'
M
11
M. Ponomarenko
⚽ 13' 🟨 90'
F
70
B. Redushko
↓ 84'
M
Substitutes
71
V. Surkis
G
51
V. Morgun
G
39
E. Guerrero
↑ 84'
F
44
V. Dubinchak
↑ 84'
D
16
S. Ogundana
↑ 70'
M
66
A. Thiare
D
13
M. Korobov
8
O. Pikhalyonok
↑ 76'
M
5
O. Yatsyk
↑ 70'
M
34
V. Zakharchenko
D
77
V. Blanuta
F
80
V. Ozymai
Shakhtar Donetsk 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
D. Riznyk
G
18
A. Ghram
D
4
Marlon
↓ 27'
D
22
M. Matviienko
🟨 34'
D
16
I. Azarovi
↓ 76'
D
21
A. Bondarenko
↓ 63'
M
29
Y. Nazaryna
↓ 46'
M
14
Isaque Silva
M
37
Lucas Ferreira
⚽ 50'
M
2
L. Traore
⚽ 68' 🎯 50'
F
11
Newerton
↓ 46'
M
Substitutes
48
D. Tvardovskyi
5
V. Bondar
D
13
P. Henrique
↑ 76'
D
17
V. Tobias
↑ 27' 🟨 32'
D
6
Marlon Gomes
M
7
Eguinaldo
F
8
D. Kryskiv
↑ 46'
M
10
Pedrinho
M
27
O. Ocheretko
↑ 63'
M
30
Alisson
M
68
P. Obah
↑ 46'
F
49
Luca Meirelles
F
Last matches: Dynamo Kyiv
24.06.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Žilina
5
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Slavia Praha
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kudrivka
3
2
W
16.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
SK Poltava
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kryvbas KR
6
5
W
17.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
0
1
L
19.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Oleksandria
5
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Obolon'-Brovar
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Polessya
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Rīgas FS
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Zimbru
5
3
W
09.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Saburtalo
2
0
W
09.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Kudrivka
2
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Veres Rivne
3
2
W
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
21.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
3
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
07.05.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
09.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
3
0
W
H2H: Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
03.05.26
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
02.11.25
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
3
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
14.05.25
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
2
2
D
27.10.24
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
1
D
11.05.24
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
L
03.11.23
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
3
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
03.10.21
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
22.09.21
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
3
0
L
17.04.21
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
0
1
W
08.11.20
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
Last matches: Dynamo Kyiv
24.06.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Žilina
5
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Slavia Praha
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kudrivka
3
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Obolon'-Brovar
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Rīgas FS
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Zimbru
5
3
W
09.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Saburtalo
2
0
W
09.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Kudrivka
2
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Veres Rivne
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Kauno Žalgiris
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Malisheva
8
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
Dynamo Kyiv
FC Noah
2
0
W
14.12.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Veres Rivne
3
0
W
01.12.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
SK Poltava
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
H2H at home: Dynamo Kyiv
03.05.26
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
29.10.25
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
27.10.24
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
1
D
03.11.23
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
1
D
03.10.21
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
08.11.20
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
17.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
07.05.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
12.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
3
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Hamrun Spartans
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
6
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Aberdeen
3
2
W
28.09.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
4
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Servette FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Shakhtar Donetsk
03.05.26
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
W
29.10.25
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
L
27.10.24
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
1
D
03.11.23
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
1
D
03.10.21
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
08.11.20
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
W

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga