GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion
Referee: M. P. Eckermann
Dynamo Dresden
Match Timeline
Holstein Kiel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Alexander Rossipal
Dynamo Dresden
14'
V. Vermeij · Assist: A. Rossipal
Dynamo Dresden
36'
V. Vermeij · Assist: K. Amoako
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
41'
Lasse Rosenboom
Holstein Kiel
🟨
45+3'
Robert Wagner
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
45+5'
Marko Ivezić
Holstein Kiel
VAR
45+2'
Umut Tohumcu
Holstein Kiel
🔄
46'
A. Kapralik ↔ S. Schwab
Holstein Kiel
🔄
69'
A. Rossipal ↔ K. Faber
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
69'
J. Ceka ↔ J. Lemmer
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
74'
N. Hauptmann ↔ S. Kutschke
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
74'
V. Vermeij ↔ T. Menzel
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
74'
A. Bernhardsson ↔ I. Ugoh
Holstein Kiel
🔄
74'
M. Ivezic ↔ L. Parduzi
Holstein Kiel
81'
P. Harres · Assist: L. Parduzi
Holstein Kiel
🔄
82'
D. Zec ↔ F. Roslyng
Holstein Kiel
🔄
89'
K. Amoako ↔ C. Daferner
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
90+1'
Phil Harres
Holstein Kiel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Dresden Win 56%
Draw 5.2%
Holstein Kiel Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo Dresden1.5
Holstein Kiel1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
WWDLW
52 GF / 52 GA
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
WLDWL
43 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
23
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
17
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 matches
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 matches
Dynamo Dresden Statistic Holstein Kiel
10 Wins 11
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 14
52 Goals For 43
52 Goals Against 46
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
23 BTTS Yes 20
29 Over 1.5 27
23 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 5
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.67
13.03 Total Shots 12.03
5.09 Corners 5.06
50.4% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Holstein Kiel look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Holstein Kiel. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dynamo Dresden expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Holstein Kiel in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Holstein Kiel having the stronger overall control.

Dynamo Dresden Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Dynamo Dresden have collected 38 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 52:52 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by V. Vermeij (9 goals), C. Daferner (7 goals), J. Lemmer (6 goals), with creative support from A. Rossipal (6 assists), N. Hauptmann (5 assists), B. Bobzien (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Holstein Kiel Analysis

Holstein Kiel sit 11 with 41 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 43:46 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Harres (9 goals), David Zec (6 goals), A. Kapralik (4 goals), with creative support from Alexander Bernhardsson (9 assists), P. Harres (3 assists), A. Kapralik (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Dresden won 2 times, Holstein Kiel won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:25 from Dynamo Dresden's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1 / Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
H2H summary: Dynamo Dresden wins 2, draws 2, Holstein Kiel wins 10
Stats
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 9
14 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 0
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
347 Total passes 509
271 Passes accurate 440
0.91 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Dynamo Dresden
Formation
Holstein Kiel
T. Schreiber
T. Schreiber
J. Sterner
J. Sterner
T. Keller
T. Keller
F. Muller
F. Muller
A. Rossipal
🎯
A. Rossipal
R. Wagner
R. Wagner
K. Amoako
🎯
K. Amoako
J. Ceka
J. Ceka
N. Hauptmann
N. Hauptmann
B. Bobzien
B. Bobzien
V. Vermeij
⚽ 2
V. Vermeij
T. Weiner
T. Weiner
L. Rosenboom
L. Rosenboom
I. Nekic
I. Nekic
D. Zec
D. Zec
M. Ivezic
M. Ivezic
J. Meffert
J. Meffert
A. Kapralik
A. Kapralik
U. Tohumcu
U. Tohumcu
J. Therkelsen
J. Therkelsen
A. Bernhardsson
A. Bernhardsson
P. Harres
P. Harres
Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Schreiber
G
32
J. Sterner
D
39
T. Keller
D
42
F. Muller
D
19
A. Rossipal
🎯 14' ↓ 69' 🟨 1'
D
18
R. Wagner
🟨 45+3'
M
6
K. Amoako
🎯 36' ↓ 89'
M
7
J. Ceka
↓ 69'
M
27
N. Hauptmann
↓ 74'
M
20
B. Bobzien
M
9
V. Vermeij
⚽ 14' ⚽ 36' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
37
D. Mesenholer
G
30
S. Kutschke
↑ 74'
F
24
T. Menzel
↑ 74'
M
29
L. Boeder
D
33
C. Daferner
↑ 89'
F
8
L. Herrmann
M
16
N. Froling
F
2
K. Faber
↑ 69'
D
10
J. Lemmer
↑ 69'
M
Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
T. Weiner
G
23
L. Rosenboom
🟨 41'
D
13
I. Nekic
D
26
D. Zec
↓ 82'
D
6
M. Ivezic
↓ 74' 🟨 45+5'
D
28
J. Meffert
M
20
A. Kapralik
↓ 46'
M
8
U. Tohumcu
M
10
J. Therkelsen
M
11
A. Bernhardsson
↓ 74'
M
19
P. Harres
⚽ 81' 🟨 90+1'
F
Substitutes
21
J. Krumrey
G
3
M. Komenda
D
43
L. Borges
D
25
M. Muller
F
29
N. Niehoff
M
49
I. Ugoh
↑ 74'
M
2
F. Roslyng
↑ 82'
D
40
L. Parduzi
🎯 81' ↑ 74'
D
22
S. Schwab
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Dynamo Dresden
09.05.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
2
L
02.05.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1
0
W
24.04.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
3
L
18.04.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
VfL Bochum
2
0
W
11.04.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Nürnberg
2
0
W
04.04.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Hertha BSC
0
1
L
26.03.26
Fri
Dynamo Dresden
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
21.03.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
15.03.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Preußen Münster
6
0
W
08.03.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Karlsruher SC
3
3
D
27.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SV Darmstadt 98
3
1
W
22.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Hannover 96
0
0
D
14.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SV Elversberg
1
2
L
07.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
FC Schalke 04
2
2
D
01.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Arminia Bielefeld
1
1
D
24.01.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Magdeburg
2
1
W
17.01.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
06.01.26
Fri
Dynamo Dresden
FC Aarau
3
2
W
20.12.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1
2
L
12.12.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
3
L
Last matches: Holstein Kiel
09.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
1
3
L
02.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
0
W
25.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
1
0
W
17.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
10.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
1
W
05.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
22.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
3
2
W
14.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
07.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
28.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
21.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
15.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
08.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hannover 96
1
3
L
31.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
2
L
23.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
18.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Ferencvarosi TC
2
0
W
07.01.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Servette FC
1
1
D
20.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
13.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
3
3
D
H2H: Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel
17.05.26
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
20.12.25
H2H
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
0
D
05.11.21
H2H
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
L
18.06.20
H2H
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2
0
L
30.11.19
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1
2
L
12.05.19
H2H
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
3
0
L
09.12.18
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
14.04.18
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
4
L
05.11.17
H2H
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
3
0
L
09.04.16
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
0
D
24.10.15
H2H
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
W
14.02.15
H2H
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
1
0
L
26.08.14
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1
2
L
Last matches: Dynamo Dresden
02.05.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1
0
W
18.04.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
VfL Bochum
2
0
W
04.04.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Hertha BSC
0
1
L
26.03.26
Fri
Dynamo Dresden
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
15.03.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Preußen Münster
6
0
W
27.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SV Darmstadt 98
3
1
W
14.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SV Elversberg
1
2
L
01.02.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Arminia Bielefeld
1
1
D
17.01.26
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
06.01.26
Fri
Dynamo Dresden
FC Aarau
3
2
W
12.12.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
3
L
30.11.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
1
W
07.11.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Nürnberg
1
2
L
25.10.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
04.10.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Karlsruher SC
3
3
D
21.09.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
Hannover 96
2
2
D
31.08.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
09.08.25
2.
Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Magdeburg
1
2
L
H2H at home: Dynamo Dresden
17.05.26
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
0
D
30.11.19
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1
2
L
09.12.18
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
14.04.18
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
4
L
09.04.16
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
0
D
26.08.14
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1
2
L
Last matches: Holstein Kiel
25.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
1
0
W
10.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
1
W
22.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
3
2
W
07.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
21.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
08.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hannover 96
1
3
L
23.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Ferencvarosi TC
2
0
W
13.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
3
3
D
07.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
23.11.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1
4
L
31.10.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
1
2
L
19.10.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
27.09.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
13.09.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
1
0
W
24.08.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
02.08.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
H2H away: Holstein Kiel
17.05.26
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
2
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
0
D
30.11.19
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1
2
W
09.12.18
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
2
W
14.04.18
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
4
W
09.04.16
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
0
0
D
26.08.14
H2H
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
1
2
W

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga