Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
84.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
15 matches
Shelbourne
16 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 28 | Goals For | 30 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6.62 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 16.77 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 6.54 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 56.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Dundalk's more proactive style and Shelbourne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Shelbourne arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shelbourne. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundalk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shelbourne in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shelbourne having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Dundalk come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 21 points after 13 matches. The return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 22:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Declan McDaid (3 goals), E. Kenny (3 goals), G. Arubi (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (4 assists), G. Arubi (2 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Shelbourne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 13 points from 12 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:21, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through H. Wood (5 goals), J. Martin (5 goals), Daniel Kelly (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), H. Wood (2 assists), J. Martin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 3 times, Shelbourne won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Dundalk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Dundalk
4
4
5
6
4
4
Lineups
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Galway United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
Bray Wanderers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Celje
Shelbourne
AZ Alkmaar
Shelbourne
Shkendija
Shelbourne
Linfield
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
Shelbourne
Qarabag
Shelbourne
Linfield
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 44 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Home
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 5 |
Shelbourne
Away
|
22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 26 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28:31 | -3 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27:36 | -9 | 22 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15:33 | -18 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 25:42 | -17 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
W
|