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CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
23.05.2026 12:00
Stadion Juliska
Referee: K. Roucek
Dukla Praha
Match Timeline
Baník Ostrava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Dominik Hašek
Dukla Praha
🟨
25'
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré
Dukla Praha
⚽
36'
M. Pourzitidis
Baník Ostrava
🟨
43'
Lukas Penxa
Dukla Praha
🟨
45'
Michal Frydrych
Baník Ostrava
🔄
46'
Z. Sehovic ↔ B. Unusic
Dukla Praha
🟨
54'
Diego Velasquez
Dukla Praha
⚽
57'
M. Traore
Baník Ostrava
🔄
60'
M. Traore ↔ B. Diallo
Dukla Praha
🔄
68'
A. Gning ↔ V. Skrkon
Baník Ostrava
🔄
69'
M. Cermak ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
69'
R. Mikus ↔ S. Hindi
Dukla Praha
⚽
74'
L. Penxa
Baník Ostrava
🔄
78'
S. Tijani ↔ M. Hanousek
Dukla Praha
🔄
78'
A. Musak ↔ J. Boula
Baník Ostrava
🔄
78'
S. Plavsic ↔ J. Pira
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
V. Sinyavskiy ↔ D. Holzer
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
O. Kricfalusi ↔ D. Planka
Baník Ostrava

Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dukla Praha Win 70.6%
Draw 29.4%
Baník Ostrava Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dukla Praha1.01
Baník Ostrava1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WWDLW
23 GF / 48 GA
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WLDWL
37 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
14
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
13
2.97
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 34 matches
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 40 matches
Dukla Praha Statistic Baník Ostrava
5 Wins 7
11 Draws 10
18 Losses 23
23 Goals For 37
48 Goals Against 60
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
14 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 27
10 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 7
17 Failed To Score 19
2.97 Shots On Goal 3.83
9.59 Total Shots 12.28
3.44 Corners 5
42.9% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Baník Ostrava. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dukla Praha expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Baník Ostrava in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baník Ostrava having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha sit 14 with 23 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 20:42, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Cermak (4 goals), D. Gilbert (2 goals), D. Kreiker (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (6 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

With 22 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Baník Ostrava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 25:45, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from V. Jurecka (4 assists), David Planka (4 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Praha won 0 times, Baník Ostrava won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:18 from Dukla Praha's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1 / Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Dukla Praha wins 0, draws 2, Baník Ostrava wins 5

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation