IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Weavers Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.3%
1.74
BTTS Yes
86%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.80
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.7%
1.16
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Drogheda United Win 35.1%
Draw 3.6%
Bohemians Win 61.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Drogheda United1.22
Bohemians1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WWDLW
32 GF / 41 GA
Bohemians Bohemians
WLDWL
51 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
17
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
18
3.18
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Drogheda United Drogheda United 25 matches
Bohemians Bohemians 30 matches
Drogheda United Statistic Bohemians
6 Wins 14
9 Draws 9
10 Losses 7
32 Goals For 51
41 Goals Against 34
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
17 BTTS Yes 20
20 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 4
3.18 Shots On Goal 4.83
8.95 Total Shots 13.88
3.59 Corners 5.42
36.3% Ball Possession 53.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bohemians's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bohemians. Bohemians carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 37 points while Drogheda United sit 8 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Drogheda United expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Bohemians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bohemians having the stronger overall control. Bohemians arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Drogheda United Analysis

So far, Drogheda United have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 27:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mark Doyle (4 goals), Ryan Brennan (2 goals), Warren Davis (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Jago Godden (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bohemians Analysis

Bohemians sit 3 with 37 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 36:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Douglas James-Taylor (3 goals), Ross Tierney (3 goals), Colm Whelan (3 goals), with creative support from Douglas James-Taylor (3 assists), Harry Vaughan (3 assists), Dawson Devoy (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 5 times, Bohemians won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Drogheda United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Drogheda United 5-3-2 / Bohemians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Drogheda United wins 5, draws 4, Bohemians wins 6
Last matches: Drogheda United
26.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
4
3
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
Last matches: Bohemians
26.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
3
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
15.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
0
W
H2H: Drogheda United vs Bohemians
15.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
L
03.04.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.01.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
4
L
01.08.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
W
23.05.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
0
W
03.03.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
W
20.09.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
W
02.08.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
2
D
19.04.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
0
L
04.03.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
15.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
3
L
04.08.23
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
4
2
L
21.04.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
L
Last matches: Drogheda United
19.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
UCD
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
1
D
H2H at home: Drogheda United
03.04.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.01.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
4
L
23.05.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
0
W
02.08.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
2
D
04.03.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
15.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
3
L
21.04.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
L
Last matches: Bohemians
22.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
3
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Waterford
4
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
1
D
H2H away: Bohemians
03.04.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.01.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
4
W
23.05.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
0
L
02.08.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
2
D
04.03.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
1
L
22.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
15.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
3
W
21.04.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.74
Draw 3.75
Home 4.81
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.28
Draw 2.40
Home 5.09
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 2.75 2.02
Over 3.0 2.37
Over 3.25 2.69
Over 3.5 2.98
Over 4.5 5.68
Under 1.5 4.06
Under 2.25 2.41
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.61
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 3.70
Home 4.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 2.30
Home 5.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.60
Home 4.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.74
Draw 3.70
Home 4.51
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.27
Draw 2.18
Home 5.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.04
Draw 2.62
Home 4.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 1.75 1.28
Over 2.0 1.34
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 1.97
Over 3.0 2.24
Over 3.25 2.47
Over 3.5 2.76
Over 3.75 3.28
Over 4.0 4.33
Over 4.25 4.64
Over 4.5 4.95
Over 5.0 8.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.30
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 4.86
Under 1.5 3.62
Under 1.75 3.26
Under 2.0 2.90
Under 2.25 2.32
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.55
Under 3.25 1.43
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.77
Draw 3.55
Home 4.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.32
Draw 2.20
Home 4.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.12
Draw 2.60
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 2.75 2.02
Over 3.0 2.43
Over 3.25 2.70
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 3.75 3.65
Over 4.0 4.90
Over 4.25 5.25
Over 4.5 5.60
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.0 2.70
Under 2.25 2.14
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.68
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.25 1.38
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 3.75 1.23
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 5 5 38:21 17 47
W D W L W
2 24 11 7 6 38:27 11 40
W W L L W
3 22 11 5 6 35:19 16 38
L W W L D
4 22 9 8 5 36:32 4 35
L W W W D
5 23 7 10 6 33:34 -1 31
D L D W D
6 24 6 11 7 30:27 3 29
W D L W L
7 21 6 6 9 29:34 -5 24
L W L D L
8 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D L D D
9 22 5 5 12 17:35 -18 20
D L L L W
10 22 3 8 11 28:44 -16 17
W L W D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1