Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.3%
|
1.74 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.80 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.7%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Drogheda United
25 matches
Bohemians
30 matches
| Drogheda United | Statistic | Bohemians |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 51 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.18 | Shots On Goal | 4.83 |
| 8.95 | Total Shots | 13.88 |
| 3.59 | Corners | 5.42 |
| 36.3% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bohemians's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bohemians. Bohemians carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 37 points while Drogheda United sit 8 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Drogheda United expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Bohemians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bohemians having the stronger overall control. Bohemians arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Drogheda United have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 27:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mark Doyle (4 goals), Ryan Brennan (2 goals), Warren Davis (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Jago Godden (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Bohemians sit 3 with 37 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 36:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Douglas James-Taylor (3 goals), Ross Tierney (3 goals), Colm Whelan (3 goals), with creative support from Douglas James-Taylor (3 assists), Harry Vaughan (3 assists), Dawson Devoy (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 5 times, Bohemians won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Drogheda United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Waterford
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
UCD
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:21 | 17 | 47 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Bohemians
Away
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:32 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 29 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Home
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
| 9 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17:35 | -18 | 20 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28:44 | -16 | 17 |
W
L
W
D
L
|