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27.10.2026 19:45
Meadowbank

Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.1%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.9%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dorking Wanderers Win 46%
Draw 19%
Hemel Hempstead Town Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dorking Wanderers1.7
Hemel Hempstead Town1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers
W L D W W
11 GF / 8 GA
Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town
L L D W L
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
13
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 20 matches
Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 18 matches
Dorking Wanderers Statistic Hemel Hempstead Town
9 Wins 3
6 Draws 7
5 Losses 8
41 Goals For 15
32 Goals Against 21
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
13 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 5
11 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
3 Shots On Goal 0
7.25 Total Shots 0
2 Corners 0
16.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dorking Wanderers's more proactive style and Hemel Hempstead Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hemel Hempstead Town. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hemel Hempstead Town having the stronger overall control. Dorking Wanderers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 20 points compared to Hemel Hempstead Town in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dorking Wanderers Analysis

So far, Dorking Wanderers have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 26:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 13 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Dorking Wanderers won 4 times, Hemel Hempstead Town won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from Dorking Wanderers's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
H2H summary: Dorking Wanderers wins 4, draws 0, Hemel Hempstead Town wins 1

Standings

National League N/S: South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 23:14 9 26
D W W L L
2 11 7 4 0 26:6 20 25
W D W W W
3 12 7 3 2 21:11 10 24
W W D W L
4 13 7 2 4 12:9 3 23
W L D W L
5 12 6 4 2 21:9 12 22
D W W W D
6 11 6 3 2 25:14 11 21
W W W D
7 13 6 3 4 24:14 10 21
D W W L D
8 12 5 5 2 26:18 8 20
W D W D D
9 12 6 2 4 23:16 7 20
W L D W W
10 13 5 4 4 20:14 6 19
W W D L L
11 12 5 4 3 19:18 1 19
D D W W W
12 12 5 3 4 20:17 3 18
L D L W
13 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
W D W L D
14 12 4 5 3 19:16 3 17
D W L D W
15 11 2 9 0 17:11 6 15
D W D D D
16 13 3 5 5 11:14 -3 14
L L D W D
17 12 4 2 6 10:19 -9 14
L W L D L
18 13 3 4 6 13:18 -5 13
L L L W D
19 13 4 1 8 12:24 -12 13
W L L L L
20 12 3 1 8 16:26 -10 10
L L L W L
21 12 3 1 8 18:33 -15 10
L L L L L
22 12 2 2 8 14:30 -16 8
L L L D W
23 12 2 2 8 10:28 -18 8
L W W D D
24 13 1 1 11 13:34 -21 4
L L L D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation