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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
24.04.2026 18:00
M-Scores Stadion
Referee: S. Teuben
Dordrecht
Match Timeline
Willem II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
25'
D. Haen ↔ A. Culum
Willem II
🟨
32'
Nicolás Rossi
Dordrecht
⚽
43'
T. Verheydt
Willem II
🔄
46'
L. Sunderland ↔ S. Bae
Dordrecht
🔄
46'
T. Verheydt ↔ S. Baartmans
Willem II
🔄
65'
N. Rossi ↔ M. Afaker
Dordrecht
🔄
65'
Mica Pinto ↔ L. Codutti
Dordrecht
🟨
69'
Jan Plug
Dordrecht
🟨
73'
Marouane Afaker
Dordrecht
⚽
78'
N. Venema · Assist: J. van Aken
Dordrecht
🔄
82'
D. van Vianen ↔ S. Carrillo
Dordrecht
⚽
83'
C. Twigt · Assist: A. Culum
Willem II
🟨
85'
Stéphano Carrillo
Dordrecht
🟨
85'
Finn Stam
Willem II
🔄
86'
M. El Allouchi ↔ N. Tjoe a On
Willem II
🟨
90+5'
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Willem II

Dordrecht vs Willem II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dordrecht Win 15.1%
Draw 0%
Willem II Win 84.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dordrecht1.21
Willem II1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dordrecht Dordrecht
WWDLW
47 GF / 54 GA
Willem II Willem II
WLDWL
57 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
23
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
20
4.81
Shots on Goal
5.49

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dordrecht Dordrecht 37 matches
Willem II Willem II 37 matches
Dordrecht Statistic Willem II
12 Wins 19
11 Draws 8
14 Losses 10
47 Goals For 57
54 Goals Against 41
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
23 BTTS Yes 20
30 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 5
4.81 Shots On Goal 5.49
15.05 Total Shots 14.78
6.08 Corners 5.7
48.2% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Willem II's more proactive style and Dordrecht's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Willem II. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dordrecht expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Willem II in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Willem II having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Willem II look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Dordrecht Analysis

Dordrecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 47 points from 37 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 46:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Eduardo (12 goals), Nick Venema (8 goals), J. Pynadath (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Eduardo (5 assists), Nick Venema (5 assists), Nicolás Rossi (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Willem II Analysis

Willem II approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 65 points after 37 outings. The return of 19 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 54:41, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Haen (18 goals), Thomas Verheydt (9 goals), N. Doodeman (6 goals), with creative support from N. Doodeman (17 assists), D. Haen (4 assists), Thomas Verheydt (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with D. Mathieu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht won 1 times, Willem II won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:31 from Dordrecht's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Dordrecht 3-4-2-1 / Willem II 4-4-2
Missing players: Dordrecht 0, Willem II 1
H2H summary: Dordrecht wins 1, draws 3, Willem II wins 8

Standings

Eerste Divisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L
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