NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
09.10.2026 18:00
M-Scores Stadion

Dordrecht vs Emmen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dordrecht Win 39.9%
Draw 11.1%
Emmen Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dordrecht1.81
Emmen2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dordrecht Dordrecht
WWDLW
27 GF / 37 GA
Emmen Emmen
WLDWL
25 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.92
2.31
Average Goals Conceded
2
9
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
9
4.89
Shots on Goal
6.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dordrecht Dordrecht 16 matches
Emmen Emmen 13 matches
Dordrecht Statistic Emmen
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
8 Losses 6
27 Goals For 25
37 Goals Against 26
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
2.31 Avg Goals Conceded 2
9 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
4.89 Shots On Goal 6.89
14.11 Total Shots 18.89
4.78 Corners 7
52.9% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Emmen's more proactive style and Dordrecht's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Emmen. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Emmen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 15 points while Dordrecht sit 17 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Dordrecht Analysis

Dordrecht sit 17 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:23 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Ouarghi (3 goals), M. Vetkal (3 goals), N. Rossi (2 goals), with creative support from A. Ouarghi (2 assists), N. Rossi (2 assists), D. Šits (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Emmen Analysis

Emmen sit 6 with 15 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 18:17, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Quispel (6 goals), J. Cooper (5 goals), M. Breij (2 goals), with creative support from B. Van Hove (3 assists), L. Everink (3 assists), J. Cooper (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht won 6 times, Emmen won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from Dordrecht's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Dordrecht 4-2-3-1 / Emmen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dordrecht wins 6, draws 2, Emmen wins 7

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 28:12 16 22
D W L W W
2 9 6 1 2 19:7 12 19
W L W W L
3 9 6 0 3 23:14 9 18
W L W W L
4
Emmen Away
9 5 1 3 19:18 1 16
D W L L W
5 9 5 1 3 13:19 -6 16
L W L L D
6 9 4 3 2 9:7 2 15
L W D W D
7 9 3 5 1 19:12 7 14
D L W W W
8 9 4 2 3 15:13 2 14
D L W L W
9 9 4 2 3 19:19 0 14
D W W L L
10 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
11 9 4 0 5 20:17 3 12
L W L W L
12 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
13 9 3 2 4 15:19 -4 11
D L W W D
14 9 2 3 4 15:16 -1 9
D L L W W
15 9 3 0 6 12:14 -2 9
W L W L L
16 9 2 2 5 13:18 -5 8
D L W L L
17 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
18 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
D W L L L
19 9 2 2 5 11:22 -11 8
D W L W L
20 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)