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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
18.05.2026 16:30
Druzhba
Referee: V. Chinkov
Dobrudzha
Match Timeline
Botev Vratsa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
D. Genov · Assist: S. Sanyang
Botev Vratsa
🟨
30'
Antoan Stoyanov
Botev Vratsa
⚽
30'
D. Genov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
46'
K. Stanev ↔ G. Trifonov
Dobrudzha
⚽
50'
G. Trifonov · Assist: A. Ivanov
Dobrudzha
🟨
58'
Vladislav Naydenov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
61'
D. Genov ↔ K. Hadji
Botev Vratsa
🔄
73'
M. Ntelo ↔ Y. Bornosuzov
Botev Vratsa
🟨
78'
Ventsislav Kerchev
Dobrudzha
🔄
81'
I. Mihaylov ↔ Valdumar
Dobrudzha
🔄
81'
A. Ramadan ↔ D. Ressurreicao
Dobrudzha
🔄
85'
S. Sanyang ↔ M. Smolenski
Botev Vratsa
🔄
89'
T. Costa Silva ↔ D. Pirgov
Dobrudzha

Dobrudzha vs Botev Vratsa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dobrudzha Win 14.3%
Draw 25.3%
Botev Vratsa Win 60.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dobrudzha0.8
Botev Vratsa1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
WWDLW
26 GF / 49 GA
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WLDWL
31 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
12
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
10
2.42
Shots on Goal
2.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 35 matches
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 35 matches
Dobrudzha Statistic Botev Vratsa
8 Wins 11
6 Draws 14
21 Losses 10
26 Goals For 31
49 Goals Against 31
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
12 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 15
18 Failed To Score 15
2.42 Shots On Goal 2.03
6.91 Total Shots 5.88
3.03 Corners 2.44
31.7% Ball Possession 30.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dobrudzha expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Botev Vratsa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botev Vratsa having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botev Vratsa. Dobrudzha have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Dobrudzha Analysis

Dobrudzha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 30 points from 35 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 21 defeats with a 26:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ivaylo Mihaylov (7 goals), L. Cardoso (4 goals), T. Costa Silva (4 goals), with creative support from A. Ramadan (4 assists), Matheus Leoni (3 assists), T. Costa Silva (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa are currently 9 in the standings with 47 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 31:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Petkov (6 goals), M. Ntelo (5 goals), Daniel Genov (4 goals), with creative support from José Gallegos (4 assists), V. Naydenov (4 assists), R. Tsonev (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Dobrudzha won 0 times, Botev Vratsa won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:8 from Dobrudzha's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Dobrudzha 4-4-1-1 / Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dobrudzha wins 0, draws 2, Botev Vratsa wins 3

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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