BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Druzhba
Referee: V. Zhelezov
Dobrudzha
Match Timeline
Beroe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Marco Borgnino
Beroe
🟨
37'
Aykut Ramadan
Dobrudzha
🔄
57'
F. Alarcon ↔ Y. Valbuena
Beroe
🔄
57'
S. Yovkov ↔ T. Sonha
Beroe
🔄
62'
A. Ivanov ↔ Matheus Leoni
Dobrudzha
🔄
62'
Valdumar ↔ I. Mihaylov
Dobrudzha
🔄
71'
S. Gavrilov ↔ F. Varela
Beroe
🟨
72'
Diogo Madaleno
Dobrudzha
75'
Y. Valbuena · Assist: M. Borgnino
Beroe
🔄
76'
D. Madaleno ↔ D. Ressurreicao
Dobrudzha
🔄
81'
A. Ramadan ↔ G. Trifonov
Dobrudzha
🔄
82'
M. Borgnino ↔ Caio Lopes
Beroe
🟨
90+4'
Caio Lopes
Beroe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 19.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
19.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dobrudzha Win 35%
Draw 19.4%
Beroe Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dobrudzha1.01
Beroe1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
WWDLW
24 GF / 48 GA
Beroe Beroe
WLDWL
26 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
12
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
17
2.58
Shots on Goal
2.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 33 matches
Beroe Beroe 33 matches
Dobrudzha Statistic Beroe
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 12
20 Losses 15
24 Goals For 26
48 Goals Against 47
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
12 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 17
4 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 12
17 Failed To Score 15
2.58 Shots On Goal 2.48
7.35 Total Shots 6.68
3.23 Corners 2.81
33.7% Ball Possession 30.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Beroe. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dobrudzha expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Beroe in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beroe having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Dobrudzha have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dobrudzha Analysis

Dobrudzha sit 15 with 26 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 20 defeats with a 23:47 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ivaylo Mihaylov (7 goals), L. Cardoso (4 goals), T. Costa Silva (3 goals), with creative support from A. Ramadan (4 assists), Matheus Leoni (3 assists), T. Costa Silva (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Beroe Analysis

So far, Beroe have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 30 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 26:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Godoy (13 goals), Alberto Salido (10 goals), Ismael Ferrer (4 goals), with creative support from Alberto Salido (4 assists), Carlos Algarra López (2 assists), Nene (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dobrudzha won 1 times, Beroe won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Dobrudzha's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
Predicted formations: Dobrudzha 4-4-1-1 / Beroe 3-5-2
H2H summary: Dobrudzha wins 1, draws 1, Beroe wins 2

Lineups

Dobrudzha
Formation
Beroe
G. Grigorov
G. Grigorov
B. Kostov
B. Kostov
J. Hurtado
J. Hurtado
V. Oliveira
V. Oliveira
V. Kerchev
V. Kerchev
A. Ivanov
A. Ivanov
D. Lovric
D. Lovric
D. Madaleno
D. Madaleno
A. Ramadan
A. Ramadan
Valdumar
Valdumar
B. Hanne
B. Hanne
Arthur
Arthur
S. Brunelli
S. Brunelli
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
F. Costantini
F. Costantini
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
S. Yovkov
S. Yovkov
S. Gavrilov
S. Gavrilov
J. Pineda
J. Pineda
I. Ferrer
I. Ferrer
M. Borgnino
🎯
M. Borgnino
F. Alarcon
F. Alarcon
Dobrudzha 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
G. Grigorov
G
15
B. Kostov
D
22
J. Hurtado
D
72
V. Oliveira
D
37
V. Kerchev
D
7
A. Ivanov
↓ 62'
F
35
D. Lovric
M
88
D. Madaleno
↓ 76' 🟨 72'
M
20
A. Ramadan
↓ 81' 🟨 37'
M
9
Valdumar
↓ 62'
11
B. Hanne
F
Substitutes
69
P. Pepelyashev
3
D. Pirgov
D
30
G. Carvalho
F
45
D. Hasan
D
70
K. Stanev
M
77
Matheus Leoni
↑ 62'
82
D. Ressurreicao
↑ 76'
M
98
I. Mihaylov
↑ 62'
F
99
G. Trifonov
↑ 81'
F
Beroe 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Arthur
G
30
S. Brunelli
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
4
F. Costantini
D
12
D. Valverde
D
16
S. Yovkov
↓ 57'
D
24
S. Gavrilov
↓ 71'
M
7
J. Pineda
M
11
I. Ferrer
M
8
M. Borgnino
🎯 75' ↓ 82' 🟨 15'
M
15
F. Alarcon
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
99
V. Quintero
G
5
Caio Lopes
↑ 82' 🟨 90+4'
M
9
Y. Valbuena
⚽ 75' ↑ 57'
F
17
W. Dual
M
18
S. Rusenov
M
22
M. Georgiev
F
23
T. Sonha
↑ 57'
D
25
Johny
D
32
F. Varela
↑ 71'
M
Last matches: Dobrudzha
22.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
18.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
06.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
01.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
27.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
0
1
L
14.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Plovdiv
0
3
L
10.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
05.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
2
2
D
22.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
1
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
08.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Alashkert
0
2
L
27.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Ružomberok
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Bunyodkor
0
1
L
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
H2H: Dobrudzha vs Beroe
10.05.26
H2H
Dobrudzha
Beroe
0
1
L
08.03.26
H2H
Dobrudzha
Beroe
1
0
W
29.09.25
H2H
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
L
28.06.23
H2H
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
Last matches: Dobrudzha
18.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
01.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
14.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Plovdiv
0
3
L
05.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
2
2
D
08.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Alashkert
0
2
L
21.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Drita
1
4
L
04.12.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Ludogorets
0
2
L
23.11.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
01.11.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
2
0
W
19.10.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
05.10.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
20.09.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
24.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
0
2
L
08.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA 1948
2
1
W
28.07.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
H2H at home: Dobrudzha
10.05.26
H2H
Dobrudzha
Beroe
0
1
L
08.03.26
H2H
Dobrudzha
Beroe
1
0
W
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
29.11.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
08.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
26.10.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
1
5
L
04.10.25
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
21.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
31.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
11.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
W
04.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
0
4
L
21.07.25
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
H2H away: Beroe
10.05.26
H2H
Dobrudzha
Beroe
0
1
W
08.03.26
H2H
Dobrudzha
Beroe
1
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15
Beroe Away
30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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