GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
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Adjarabet Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Batumi Win 78.3%
Draw 4.8%
Spaeri Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Batumi1.38
Spaeri1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi
WWDLW
37 GF / 46 GA
Spaeri Spaeri
WLDWL
42 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
15
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 28 matches
Spaeri Spaeri 29 matches
Dinamo Batumi Statistic Spaeri
9 Wins 7
7 Draws 11
12 Losses 11
37 Goals For 42
46 Goals Against 43
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
15 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 23
18 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Dinamo Batumi's more proactive style and Spaeri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Spaeri. Spaeri arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Spaeri having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Dinamo Batumi Analysis

Dinamo Batumi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 34 points after 22 matches. With 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Spaeri Analysis

With 23 points from 22 games and a place of 9, Spaeri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 30:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Batumi won 1 times, Spaeri won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Dinamo Batumi's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Dinamo Batumi wins 1, draws 1, Spaeri wins 0
Last matches: Dinamo Batumi
21.08.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
16.08.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
4
0
W
08.08.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
2
D
16.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Batumi
Amed
0
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Batumi
Rizespor
0
3
L
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
17.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
2
W
12.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dila
3
2
W
29.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 1999
0
1
L
25.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
1
0
W
21.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
3
3
D
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
3
1
W
06.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
2
D
27.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
L
22.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dila
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 1999
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
0
3
L
Last matches: Spaeri
22.08.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
3
4
L
17.08.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
20.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
FC Urartu
2
3
L
22.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
16.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
FC Iberia 1999
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
07.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
22.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
FC Iberia 1999
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
07.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
L
H2H: Dinamo Batumi vs Spaeri
21.05.26
H2H
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
03.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
4
1
W
Last matches: Dinamo Batumi
08.08.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
2
D
27.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 1999
0
3
L
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
4
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
1
D
H2H at home: Dinamo Batumi
03.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
4
1
W
Last matches: Spaeri
17.08.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
16.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
FC Iberia 1999
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
0
D
07.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
07.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
L
11.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Asiagoal
0
0
D
17.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Pakhtakor
4
3
W
17.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Spaeri
Ilbirs
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Spaeri
Rustavi
2
2
D
24.07.25
UEF
Spaeri
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
H2H away: Spaeri
03.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
4
1
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 5 5 29:18 11 41
W W W L W
2 21 9 7 5 33:25 8 34
L W W W L
3 20 10 4 6 30:22 8 34
L W L D W
4 22 9 7 6 35:32 3 34
W W D L W
5 22 8 7 7 36:25 11 31
D W L D L
6 22 9 4 9 31:40 -9 31
W L W D L
7 21 9 3 9 26:22 4 30
D W W W L
8 22 5 9 8 21:30 -9 24
L D D D D
9 22 5 8 9 30:32 -2 23
L D L D L
10 22 1 8 13 15:40 -25 11
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2