Derby vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.14
Stoke City1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
Stoke City
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
3.63
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
14 matches
Stoke City
12 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 8 | Losses | 4 |
| 15 | Goals For | 16 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 12.13 |
| 6.38 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Stoke City won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 3-5-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 4, Stoke City wins 5
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Stoke City
Away
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 |
Derby
Home
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
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Relegation - League One